College Football Week 2 Odds, Picks & Prediction: Boise State vs. New Mexico State (2022)

Let’s take a look at the College Football Week 2 odds, picks, and predictions for this week’s game: Boise State vs. New Mexico State.

And check out our other game previews for Week 2:

Check out Thor Nystrom’s Week 2 College Football Power Rankings >>

College Football Week 2 Early Odds, Picks & Prediction: Boise State vs. New Mexico State

Boise State (-16.5) at New Mexico

My system is showing a tasty eight points of line value on Boise State. That's mostly because of BSU's stunning Week 1 dud against Oregon State. But that game was over before it started due to QB Hank Bachmeier's three first-half turnovers.

The offense gained only 22 yards in Bachmeier's 17 snaps before he was given the hook. It was a performance totally out of character with his previous work. Will BSU go back to the previously-steady veteran, or turn to exciting frosh QB Taylen Green?

Green took over for Bachmeier against Oregon State and impressed, becoming the first Broncos quarterback since 2014 to rush for more than 100 yards. Green finished 19-of-28 for 155 yards and an INT while rushing for 102 yards and two TD on 11 attempts.

In the preseason, my adjusted spread for this game was BSU -25.5. BSU lost a little ground in the power rankings this week due to last week's loss. But favoring BSU by a mere -16.5 is an overreaction. BSU isn't going to turn the ball over three times immediately after kickoff again.

New Mexico checks in at No. 123 in my power rankings. The Lobos beat FCS Maine in the opener 41-0. Perhaps that result gained some trust in the marketplace, but not from me. The Lobos' run-heavy offense is going to have more issues moving the ball against BSU than they did Maine.

I see Boise State taking out some frustration from last weekend by blasting New Mexico on Friday night.

Bet: Boise State (-16.5)

What is Betting Against the Spread?

Betting "against the spread" refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.

What is an Over/Under Bet?

Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.

What is a Moneyline Bet?

A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.

Prop Bet Analyzer: View top rated props and historical prop performance by player >>

Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts

Whether you’re new to sports betting or a betting pro, our How To Bet and Sports Betting Strategy and Advice pages are for you. You can get started with our Sports Betting 101 Section - including 10 Sports Betting Tips for Beginners - or head to more advanced sports betting strategies - like Key Numbers When Betting Against the Spread - to learn more.

Try Premium for FREE in our mobile app