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College Football Week 3 Odds, Picks & Prediction: Texas vs UTSA (2022)

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Let’s take a look at the College Football Week 3 odds, picks, and predictions for this week’s game: Texas vs UTSA.

And check out our other Week 3 College Football Game Previews & Picks:

Check out Thor Nystrom’s Week 3 College Football Power Rankings >>

College Football Week 3 Early Odds, Picks & Prediction: Texas vs UTSA

The 1-point loss to Alabama by my beloved Longhorns didn't just leave emotional pain in Austin; the top two Texas QBs both didn't escape the game without ailments. 

Texas starting QB Quinn Ewers left with a sprained shoulder that will sideline him 4-6 weeks, and while Card was able to gut it out, he was limping around with a bad ankle sprain that will keep him out the next two weeks. The Longhorns will be down to 3rd-string QB Charles Wright with a preferred walk-on Cole Lourd, and I expect a decent amount of Wildcat formations with RBs Roschon Johnson (who started as a QB at Texas) and Bijan Robinson.  Texas will piece it together but will definitely not be clicking on all cylinders offensively. 

The defense for Texas is really why I like the under in this game, I have been watching Texas for a long time, and I couldn't believe the level of defense Texas displayed against Alabama.  I haven't seen that much pressure on an elite-level OL from this team in years, and really not missing many tackles at all.  UTSA has a very good offense led by 3rd-year starter Frank Harris, but the offensive line has allowed seven sacks through the first two games and is among the bottom 10 in pass block grade from PFF. 

I'll admit I see a scenario where Texas lets us down after an emotional letdown in the Week 2 loss to Alabama, but I think the defense found themselves in that loss coupled with the 3rd-string QB starting, I think they still control the game but could have issues scoring.  I wouldn't have guessed I would be taking the under in this game two weeks ago, but here we are!

Bet: Under 60.5 (-107 on PointsBet)

What is Betting Against the Spread?

Betting "against the spread" refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.

What is an Over/Under Bet?

Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.

What is a Moneyline Bet?

A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.

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