Thor Nystrom’s Best College Football Week 4 Bets (2022)
Here’s a look at College Football Week 4 spreads and my projections. Below you can find my best bets of the week.
16-16-2 ATS overall this season | 13-7 ATS over the last two weeks | 2014-2021: 706-620-17 ATS (53.2%)
In the box below are my adjusted spreads for this weekend’s games. ATL stands for “Adjusted Thor Line,†and ATT stands for “Adjusted Thor Total.†Spreads are from the home team’s perspective, i.e. a negative number indicates the home team is favored. In the value column, a negative number indicates points of value on the spread for the home team, while a positive number indicates points value on the away team. Similarly, in the totals value column, a negative number indicates points of line value on the over, while a positive number indicates points of line value on the under.
| Away | Home | ATL | Spread | Value | ATT | Total | Value | Day | CST |
| West Virginia | Virginia Tech | -3.8 | 2 | -5.8 | 41.5 | 52.5 | -11 | Thursday | 6:30 PM |
| Coastal Carolina | Georgia St. | 0.3 | 2 | -1.7 | 61.5 | 63.5 | -2 | Thursday | 6:30 PM |
| Virginia | Syracuse | -12.8 | -9 | -3.8 | 56.5 | 54.5 | 2 | Friday | 6:00 PM |
| Nevada | Air Force | -21.5 | -24 | 2.5 | 64 | 48.5 | 15.5 | Friday | 7:00 PM |
| Boise St. | UTEP | 16.3 | 15.5 | 0.8 | 44 | 45.5 | -1.5 | Friday | 8:00 PM |
| TCU | SMU | -1.1 | 2.5 | -3.6 | 76 | 69.5 | 6.5 | Saturday | 11:00 AM |
| Duke | Kansas | -5.2 | -7.5 | 2.3 | 67.5 | 64.5 | 3 | Saturday | 11:00 AM |
| Baylor | Iowa St. | 2.8 | -3 | 5.8 | 50.5 | 44.5 | 6 | Saturday | 11:00 AM |
| Central Michigan | Penn St. | -24.2 | -28 | 3.8 | 49 | 60.5 | -11.5 | Saturday | 11:00 AM |
| South Florida | Louisville | -13.7 | -14.5 | 0.8 | 62 | 63.5 | -1.5 | Saturday | 11:00 AM |
| Buffalo | Eastern Michigan | -9.2 | -6 | -3.2 | 65 | 60.5 | 4.5 | Saturday | 11:00 AM |
| Kent St. | Georgia | -43.0 | -45 | 2.0 | 62.5 | 59 | 3.5 | Saturday | 11:00 AM |
| Maryland | Michigan | -12.8 | -16.5 | 3.7 | 63.5 | 62.5 | 1 | Saturday | 11:00 AM |
| Clemson | Wake Forest | 7.5 | 7 | 0.5 | 68.5 | 55.5 | 13 | Saturday | 11:00 AM |
| Missouri | Auburn | -10.4 | -7 | -3.4 | 62 | 52 | 10 | Saturday | 11:00 AM |
| Bowling Green | Mississippi St. | -34.0 | -30 | -4.0 | 59 | 56.5 | 2.5 | Saturday | 11:00 AM |
| UCLA | Colorado | 22.3 | 21 | 1.3 | 60 | 57.5 | 2.5 | Saturday | 1:00 PM |
| Massachusetts | Temple | -5.4 | -9.5 | 4.1 | 53.5 | 44.5 | 9 | Saturday | 1:00 PM |
| Texas | Texas Tech | 4.7 | 6.5 | -1.8 | 76.5 | 60 | 16.5 | Saturday | 2:30 PM |
| Notre Dame | North Carolina | 0.2 | -1.5 | 1.7 | 62 | 60 | 2 | Saturday | 2:30 PM |
| Minnesota | Michigan St. | -1.5 | 3 | -4.5 | 49 | 51 | -2 | Saturday | 2:30 PM |
| Toledo | San Diego St. | 0.6 | 2.5 | -1.9 | 45 | 47 | -2 | Saturday | 2:30 PM |
| James Madison | Appalachian St. | -10.4 | -7.5 | -2.9 | 55.5 | 57.5 | -2 | Saturday | 2:30 PM |
| Middle Tennessee | Miami (FL) | -23.4 | -26.5 | 3.1 | 63.5 | 52.5 | 11 | Saturday | 2:30 PM |
| Florida International | Western Kentucky | -32.4 | -31.5 | -0.9 | 74.5 | 66.5 | 8 | Saturday | 2:30 PM |
| North Texas | Memphis | -12.1 | -12 | -0.1 | 56 | 68.5 | -12.5 | Saturday | 2:30 PM |
| Florida | Tennessee | -10.2 | -10.5 | 0.3 | 72 | 62.5 | 9.5 | Saturday | 2:30 PM |
| Indiana | Cincinnati | -22.7 | -16.5 | -6.2 | 48.5 | 54 | -5.5 | Saturday | 2:30 PM |
| Georgia Tech | UCF | -22.2 | -20 | -2.2 | 59 | 57.5 | 1.5 | Saturday | 3:00 PM |
| Oregon | Washington St. | 7.8 | 6.5 | 1.3 | 58 | 54.5 | 3.5 | Saturday | 3:00 PM |
| Tulsa | Ole Miss | -21.4 | -21.5 | 0.1 | 56 | 62 | -6 | Saturday | 3:00 PM |
| Arizona | California | -4.4 | -3.5 | -0.9 | 40 | 48.5 | -8.5 | Saturday | 4:30 PM |
| Ball St. | Georgia Southern | -9.8 | -10 | 0.2 | 41.5 | 62 | -20.5 | Saturday | 5:00 PM |
| Akron | Liberty | -32.4 | -29.5 | -2.9 | 57.5 | 59 | -1.5 | Saturday | 5:00 PM |
| Navy | East Carolina | -18.1 | -17 | -1.1 | 54.5 | 48 | 6.5 | Saturday | 5:00 PM |
| Arkansas St. | Old Dominion | -8.0 | -5.5 | -2.5 | 59 | 56.5 | 2.5 | Saturday | 5:00 PM |
| Rice | Houston | -19.6 | -17.5 | -2.1 | 58.5 | 57.5 | 1 | Saturday | 5:00 PM |
| Iowa | Rutgers | 8.3 | 7.5 | 0.8 | 37.5 | 35.5 | 2 | Saturday | 6:00 PM |
| Arkansas | Texas A&M | -4.2 | -2 | -2.2 | 52 | 48 | 4 | Saturday | 6:00 PM |
| Northern Illinois | Kentucky | -24.9 | -26 | 1.1 | 58.5 | 53 | 5.5 | Saturday | 6:00 PM |
| Southern Miss | Tulane | -15.0 | -13 | -2.0 | 45 | 50 | -5 | Saturday | 6:00 PM |
| Marshall | Troy | 1.7 | 3.5 | -1.8 | 51 | 52.5 | -1.5 | Saturday | 6:00 PM |
| Louisiana Tech | South Alabama | -10.0 | -13.5 | 3.5 | 53 | 59.5 | -6.5 | Saturday | 6:00 PM |
| UNLV | Utah St. | 2.0 | 2 | 0.0 | 55.5 | 62 | -6.5 | Saturday | 6:00 PM |
| Vanderbilt | Alabama | -40.6 | -40.5 | -0.1 | 65.5 | 59 | 6.5 | Saturday | 6:30 PM |
| Charlotte | South Carolina | -19.6 | -22 | 2.4 | 56.5 | 65 | -8.5 | Saturday | 6:30 PM |
| New Mexico | LSU | -33.1 | -31.5 | -1.6 | 39.5 | 47 | -7.5 | Saturday | 6:30 PM |
| Florida Atlantic | Purdue | -18.8 | -19 | 0.2 | 46 | 61.5 | -15.5 | Saturday | 6:30 PM |
| Connecticut | North Carolina St. | -39.6 | -38.5 | -1.1 | 54.5 | 50.5 | 4 | Saturday | 6:30 PM |
| Wisconsin | Ohio St. | -18.2 | -18.5 | 0.3 | 67 | 56 | 11 | Saturday | 6:30 PM |
| Miami (OH) | Northwestern | -9.7 | -7 | -2.7 | 48 | 51 | -3 | Saturday | 6:30 PM |
| Kansas St. | Oklahoma | -14.0 | -13 | -1.0 | 54.5 | 53 | 1.5 | Saturday | 7:00 PM |
| Hawai’i | New Mexico St. | 2.7 | -5 | 7.7 | 71 | 55 | 16 | Saturday | 7:00 PM |
| Boston College | Florida St. | -15.0 | -17.5 | 2.5 | 46.5 | 48.5 | -2 | Saturday | 7:00 PM |
| Louisiana | Louisiana-Monroe | 17.4 | 9.5 | 7.9 | 51.5 | 52.5 | -1 | Saturday | 7:00 PM |
| USC | Oregon St. | 4.9 | 7 | -2.1 | 67.5 | 68 | -0.5 | Saturday | 8:30 PM |
| Wyoming | Brigham Young | -21.2 | -22 | 0.8 | 51.5 | 51.5 | 0 | Saturday | 9:15 PM |
| Western Michigan | San Jose St. | -8.8 | -6.5 | -2.3 | 51 | 51 | 0 | Saturday | 9:30 PM |
| Utah | Arizona St. | 9.1 | 15 | -5.9 | 53 | 52 | 1 | Saturday | 9:30 PM |
| Stanford | Washington | -15.2 | -13.5 | -1.7 | 44.5 | 61.5 | -17 | Saturday | 9:30 PM |