College Football Week 4 Betting Systems Odds & Picks (2024)
This week’s college football slate features some conference games! Not every team plays a conference game, but there are more than in previous weeks.
That said, we’ll take a look at some of the NCAAF betting systems at BettingPros and wager on some of the value we find. Check it out below!
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Week 4 Best College Football Betting System Plays
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Georgia Tech vs. Louisville
NCAAF LOU Home Favorites – Spread
- +2.51 units over the last year
The NCAAF LOU Home Favorites – Spread is a system for Louisville football. Over the last 12 games as home favorites, Louisville is 10-2 against the spread. That’s helped bettors earn an 83.3% win percentage and an ROI of 58.4% off 12 units wagered.
Louisville will be a 10-point favorite against Georgia Tech this weekend. Georgia Tech won against Florida State in Ireland but already lost to Syracuse. It has just won against Georgia State and VMI. The Yellow Jackets were probably hyped up more than they should’ve been after a win against Florida State in Week 1.
The defense is essentially average. They’ve been better against the run, but the pass rush and secondary have struggled. Meanwhile, Louisville’s quarterback Tyler Shough has thrown for 581 yards and six touchdowns in two games. Louisville hasn’t had much of a test through the season’s first two games, but they’ve looked connected on offense.
Let’s ride with this system and take Louisville at -10.
Pick: Louisville -10 (-110)
Miami vs. South Florida
- +13.50 units over the last year
The system above looks at games with high totals and takes the Under.
In the last 59 games, with the total sitting at 62-75, backing the Under would’ve netted you a 22.7% ROI with 64.4% of wins. That’s a profit of 13.4 units on 59 wagers.
There are five different wagers you can consider in this system this weekend. But I’ll spotlight the Miami-South Florida game. The total for that game is currently 65 points. However, South Florida limited Alabama to just 14 points through three quarters on the road earlier this year, and Miami hasn’t allowed more than nine points in each of its last two games.
Miami’s offense will still do some damage, but it takes two teams to hit these types of overs. South Florida can hold their own on defense to at least force a few stops. Take the Under 65.
Pick: Under 65 (-110)
Baylor vs. Colorado
- +7.69 units over the last year
This system looks at teams on the moneyline sitting at -130 to -101.
In this system, Colorado fits the script over Baylor. Colorado is a -125 favorite against Baylor at home in an 8:00 primetime Big 12 game on FOX.
If nothing else, the loss to Nebraska was a bit of a wake-up call for Colorado. The Buffaloes started a little slow last weekend against Colorado State but eventually took care of business on the road, 28-9. They’ll be home for the first time against an FBS opponent this season.
Ultimately, it’s unlikely Baylor can keep up offensively. Sawyer Robertson has only thrown for 315 yards and one touchdown at quarterback. Meanwhile, the leading rusher, Dawson Pendergrass, has added 144 yards on the ground on 30 carries.
I’ll rock Colorado at home in their first-ever Big 12 matchup.
Pick: Colorado (-125)