College Football Week 4 Odds, Picks & Prediction: Old Dominion vs. Arkansas State (2022)

Let’s take a look at the College Football Week 4 odds, picks, and predictions for this week’s game: Old Dominion vs. Arkansas State.

And check out our other College Football Week 4 game previews and best bets:

Check out Thor Nystrom’s Week 4 College Football Power Rankings >>

College Football Week 4 Odds, Picks & Prediction: Old Dominion vs. Arkansas State

This is a nice opportunity to grab some line value on a "buy" team (Old Dominion) playing a "sell" team (Arkansas State).

The Monarchs are 1-2 - with an upset win over Virginia Tech in the opener - but could easily be 2-1. Last week, ODU lost a tough 16-14 decision to Virginia.

ODU hasn't run the ball as well as I expected so far - RB Blake Watson was a breakout star down the stretch last season - but the Monarchs are generating offense with explosive passing plays. WR Ali Jennings is a deep-ball maven, and TE Zach Kuntz (former four-star Penn State signing) is a matchup nightmare for any opponent down the seam.

Carrying over from last season, Arkansas State still has one of the nation's worst defenses. That defense is particularly bad at preventing explosive plays. Ranked No. 124 SP+ overall on that side of the ball, ASU checks in at No. 129 in both defensive IsoPPP and marginal explosiveness. Against the pass, ASU is dead-last, No. 131, in preventing explosive plays. A big part of the problem is being allergic to tackling - ASU ranks bottom 15 in the country in PFF tackling.

ASU loves to throw the ball. But with WR Tevailance Hunt sidelined with a lower-body injury, the Red Wolves forced the ball to new WR1 Champ Flemings, who has 10 more targets than any other player on the roster.

That's despite Flemings' day ending early against Memphis last week after an undisclosed lingering injury cropped up. Arkansas State's compromised receiving corps doesn't portend well for this matchup. If Flemings and Hunt are both unavailable, ASU will have to run more than it prefers or target receivers it has mostly avoided through three weeks.

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