College Football Week 5 Betting Systems Odds & Picks (2024)
Last week’s system plays went 2-0-1. Yes, we had a push, but we also added two wins from our NCAAF betting systems. Let’s look to keep building the bankroll with three more college football bets using the BettingPros betting systems page.
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Week 5 Best College Football Betting System Plays
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Mississippi State vs. Texas
- +18.66 units over the last year
The “Big Unk’s Under The Total System†has earned a 9.03% ROI on 201 bets. It’s also added 18.66 units of profit and has won 57.5% of the time in the last 201 wagers for this system.
Ultimately, this system looks at Unders for total points and looks for games in the same division and conference in the regular season. It’s basically using the thought that conference matchups typically go under the total and are more competitive.
While Miss State vs. Texas likely won’t be competitive, the Under in that game is intriguing.
Texas has allowed just 5.50 points per game. They’ve also held opponents to 116 passing yards and just 95.75 yards on the ground per game. While Blake Shapen has eight passing touchdowns and just one interception, he hasn’t played a defense like Texas.
The Longhorns will play their first SEC matchup as the No. 1 ranked team in the nation. They’ll show out and not allow Mississippi State much offense throughout the entire game. Consider the Under 62.5 via the Model.
Pick: Under 62.5 (-112)
Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State
- +4.70 units over the last year
This system looks at underdogs against the spread, on the road, playing in the same conference, around the noon ET noon window. This system has earned a 3.9% ROI on 121 wagers and has added a 54.6% win percentage with nearly five units of profit.
I’m eying Oklahoma State +5 against Kansas State.
For one, Oklahoma State is ranked higher than Kansas State. Both teams are coming off poorly played losses. But at least Oklahoma State showed some battle late against Utah. Kansas State lost on the road to BYU, 38-9, as a top-25 team.
The Oklahoma State Cowboys have a better secondary and are even against the run. Meanwhile, I’d certainly trust Alan Bowman throwing the football over Kansas State’s Avery Johnson. Meanwhile, Ollie Gordon is one of the few running backs in the nation that can add the same production as D.J. Giddens.
Therefore, let’s take the Oklahoma State +5 via this system.
Pick: Oklahoma State +5 (-110)
UNLV vs. Fresno State
- +9.09 units over the last year
We nailed Colorado in this same ML Favorites system last week. The system inputs for the ML Favorites system are simple. It’s looking for favorites at -130 to -101. UNLV fits the script.
The UNLV Rebels are 3-0 heading into Saturday’s battle against Fresno State. By now, you’ve heard about the whole Matt Sluka situation. It’s a he-said-she-said battle. Ultimately, Sluka, the former starting quarterback, didn’t get paid what he wanted and left the program despite one of the best starts in UNLV history.
Sluka was a former transfer from Holy Cross and had played three games for UNLV. They added wins against Houston and Kansas, but he only compiled 318 yards passing on 43.8% completion percentage. It was his legs that moved the offense.
That said, if the UNLV staff believed Sluka was why they won games, they would’ve found enough NIL money to keep him. With Sluka done, another redshirt senior transfer will take over. Hajj-Malik Williams, a transfer from Campbell, will get the call, and it seems like teammates are thrilled for him.
After the Sluka headlines, this game will have way more eyes. Look for UNLV to be prepared and respond with authority.
Pick: UNLV (-125)