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College Football Week 5 Odds Pick & Prediction: New Mexico State vs. FIU (2022)

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Let’s take a look at the College Football Week 5 odds, picks, and predictions for this week’s game: New Mexico State vs. FIU.

Check out our other best college football bets for Week 5:

Check out Thor Nystrom’s Week 5 College Football Power Rankings >>

College Football Week 5 Early Odds, Picks & Prediction: New Mexico State vs. FIU

I want to take New Mexico State so badly after watching that AWFUL loss from FIU to WKU last week (which we had in this article). The issue is that outside of the big win against Hawai'i last week, the Aggies have been rough, scoring 13 or fewer points in their other four games that include losses to Nevada and UTEP. New Mexico State ranks below 120th in the country in passing and scoring but really impresses with the rushing coming in at 72nd with 157 rushing yards per game.

We know FIU is inept after last week’s 73-0 performance, but to put the numbers to it, they also rank below 120th in scoring and rushing but bump it all the way up to 93rd in passing with 228 yards per game. FIU is also 128th in 3rd down conversions, 96th in red zone conversion rate, and 116th in Time of Possession. These teams have a combined three players with a grade over 70 on offense from PFF, and the QBs are all below 67.

The Defenses for these teams are also completely inept, so if either team can get rolling, we could see a crescendo of points. FIU has scored 12 total points in two games against FBS opponents, and New Mexico State wants to run the ball and the clock. I expect this to be a very boring punt and field position game because either team has a shot to win this, and opportunities for Wins are not going to come along often for these two. New Mexico State is the home team, and I expect them to win, but they are far from trustworthy. Therefore, I'll trust that neither offense will click, and this game will stay way under this total.

Bet: Under 54 (-110)

What is Betting Against the Spread?

Betting "against the spread" refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.

What is an Over/Under Bet?

Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.

What is a Moneyline Bet?

A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.

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