College Football Week 9 Odds, Picks & Predictions (Tuesday)
Gear up for another awesome weekend of college football action with BettingPros! We’ll have you covered with all of our top picks for the week along with our projected spreads and totals to help guide your college football bets. Below are our top picks and predictions for Tuesday’s games.
- More NCAAF Betting Advice
- Expert Game Picks for College Football
- Top Bettor Picks for College Football
- NCAAF Betting Strategy
Top College Football Odds & Picks: Tuesday
New Mexico State vs. Louisiana Tech
Much like late last season, the New Mexico State Aggies are getting hot. They’ve won 4 of 5 and sit 3-1 in CUSA. I think some of this is fool’s gold. The quality of opponents hasn’t been up to snuff, even for CUSA. UTEP, Sam Houston State, FIU, Hawaii and even New Mexico are some of the worst teams in the country by most advanced metrics. Louisiana Tech will come into the game 2-2 in CUSA but having already played two of it’s more difficult opponents in MTSU and Western Kentucky. We’ve already seen sharp money is coming in on Lousiana Tech although the public seems to be heavy on NMSU. I’m not trusting the Aggies we’ve seen are going to be the ones that show up here at the meat of the schedule. I’m backing Lousiana Tech.
Pick: Louisiana Tech -2.5
-Ryan Rodeman
Liberty vs. Western Kentucky
Tuesday Night CUSA play continues in what should be a really good matchup between Western Kentucky and undefeated Liberty. As their 7-0 record might indicate, Liberty has been a juggernaut in CUSA, leading the conference in scoring (36.3 PPG) and yardage (487 YPG) with a rushing attack that averages an insane 274 YPG. This matchup profiles horribly for a Hilltoppers defense that ranks dead last in yardage allowed per game and rushing yards allowed per game, while conceding the 2nd-most points in the conference at 27.7 PPG. Western Kentucky does have the best passing attack in the conference but they're completely one-dimensional, with a rushing attack that ranks 2nd-worst in CUSA. Again, that does not bode well against a Liberty squad that surrenders fewer than 20 PPG and leads the conference in yardage allowed. I see this game as a complete mismatch on both sides of the ball; Liberty should be able to move the ball and score at will against the porous defense of WKU, and their defense should be able to limit the only thing that the Hilltoppers do on offense. I'll lay the points with Liberty in front of what should be a pretty tame home crowd.
Pick: Liberty -5.5
-Austin MacMillan
Best Ways to Bet College Football for Beginners
Game Total
Bettors new to the hobby can be confused by spreads, but game totals are simple. Every football game has a total posted for the combined final score between the two teams. Bettors have the option to choose the OVER or UNDER, generally at -110 odds (risk: $110; win: $100). So if the total is 42 and you take the OVER, you need 43 points to win the bet. If you put a bet down on the over to win $100 and it goes over, you get back the money you initially risked, plus $100. If it stayed under, you would have lost your $110 and that's it. If by chance the game ended with 42 total points, it's called a push; when a game pushes, you get the money you risked back but nothing more.
ie: California vs. Illinois, Over 42 or Under 42
tip: Over bets can be a really fun social event with your buddies. Have everyone throw in a few bucks, then take the over together. Instead of getting pumped when one side scores, everyone is pumped for ANY score, all game.
Moneyline
The moneyline is the easiest way to test your college football knowledge: who will win the game? That's it. The moneyline doesn't use favorites or underdogs, it's totally straight up. That said, the risk-reward can be challenging because they're weighted. Instead of every game being around -110, like game totals and spreads, moneylines vary depending on the matchup.
For our example, California was favored by seven points over Illinois, meaning oddsmakers think the Golden Bears are a touchdown better than the Fighting Illini. If you took Cal on the moneyline, points don't matter, they just need to win the game. But because it's safer to take them straight-up without points, you'll have to risk more when you make the bet - remember, they're seven points better than Illinois in the eyes of the oddsmakers. In this case, Cal is -280 on the moneyline, so if you want to win $100, you have to risk $280. On the flip side, moneyline bets can be valuable when taking the underdog because it's a riskier bet - they're seven points worse than their opponent. In this case, Illinois is the underdog - +220 on the moneyline. You'd win $220 on a $100 bet if you picked Illinois on the moneyline and they pulled off the upset.
ie: California (ML -280) vs. Illinois (ML +220)
tip: Check their history against one another. Keep an eye on the injury report and the weather.
Player Props
Player props are some of the most exhilarating bets you can place during a college football game, but they're also easy to understand. For major conferences, you'll have a wide array of options to choose from. Quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, and sometimes tight ends will have props to choose from. It's simple, fun and easy to follow, and odds on player props don't vary as much as moneylines. Generally, prop bets are in the -110 range like generic spread and total bets.
ie: How many passing yards will Brandon Peters have against California? Over 250 or Under 250
tip: Check how players have performed in the situation they're going to be in. Use split stats on any reliable site to see their numbers at home, on a neutral-site, in December, etc.
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts