Colts vs. Patriots: NFL Week 10 Odds & Picks (2023)
Gear up for another weekend of NFL action! Make sure to check in with BettingPros throughout the year for top picks and predictions for each and every NFL game. Our writers dive into their favorite picks and predictions for every remaining game on this weekend’s NFL slate. And let’s take a closer look at Colts vs. Patriots.
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NFL Odds, Picks & Predictions: Colts vs. Patriots
Colts vs. Patriots
The NFL heads to Frankfurt again on Sunday for another early kickoff. The Patriots take on the Colts in a matchup that would have been must-see viewing 15 years ago. The Patriots have had some rough games lately but they aren’t nearly as bad as the public perception. In fact, their defense ranks 14th in DVOA, and 5th in run DVOA. That’s important about a Colt team that is 6th in run offense DVOA. The Patriots should be able to neutralize the Indianapolis run game, meaning QB Gardner Minshew will have to beat the Patriots with his arm. When it comes to completion percentage, yards per attempt or even interceptions, Minshew has only been marginally better than Mac Jones. Speaking of Jones, he likely won’t be asked to do too much in this game. The Indianapolis run defense ranks in the bottom third of the league in most metrics which the Patriots can exploit with their running game. I think we’ve probably hit the bottom of the market for this Patriot team. I trust Bill Belichick in this spot and I’m backing New England.
Pick: Patriots +1.5
-Ryan Rodeman
What is Betting Against the Spread?
Betting "against the spread" refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.
What is an Over/Under Bet?
Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.
What is a Moneyline Bet?
A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.
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