Commanders vs. Cowboys: NFL Week 12 Odds & Picks (Thanksgiving Day)
Happy Thanksgiving from BettingPros! We’ll have you covered with all of our picks and predictions for today’s slate of games. Make sure to check in with BettingPros throughout the year for top picks and predictions for each and every NFL game. Our writers dive into their favorite picks and predictions for every remaining game on this weekend’s NFL slate. Here are our top NFL picks for Thanksgiving Day. And below we dive into Commanders vs. Cowboys.
Go premium to view top prop bets based on Cover Probability, Expected Value & Star Rating >>
NFL Odds, Picks & Predictions: Commanders vs. Cowboys
Commanders vs. Cowboys
There are few traditions more notable than the Cowboys playing on Thanksgiving. However, the Cowboys have had some difficulty covering on Thanksgiving over the last decade and more. 1-11 is Dallas’s record ATS since 2011. This year Washington comes to town and sits as 11-point dogs. With the Commanders coming off of a loss to the lowly Giants and their third-string quarterback it’s easy to write them off against a surging Cowboy team. The Cowboys have been led by an elite defense, but if they have a weakness it’s against the run, where they rank only 13th in DVOA. This is an area where the Commanders can have success. If they can get things started on the ground that can open things up for Sam Howell who has been pretty good when he isn’t turning the ball over. For a divisional game, this is too large of a spread. Washington is 4-7 but they’ve only lost by double digits twice. If they can limit the turnovers they can cover this number easily.
Pick: Commanders +11
-Ryan Rodeman
What is Betting Against the Spread?
Betting "against the spread" refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.
What is an Over/Under Bet?
Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.
What is a Moneyline Bet?
A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts
Whether you're new to sports betting or a betting pro, our Sports Betting Strategy and Advice page is for you. You can get started with our 101 section - including 10 Sports Betting Tips for Beginners - or head to more advanced strategy - like Key Numbers When Betting Against the Spread - to learn more.