Commanders vs. Patriots: NFL Week 9 Odds & Picks (2023)
Gear up for another weekend of NFL action! Make sure to check in with BettingPros throughout the year for top picks and predictions for each and every NFL game. Our writers dive into their favorite picks and predictions for every remaining game on this weekend’s NFL slate. And let’s take a closer look at Commanders vs. Patriots.
Go premium to view top prop bets based on Cover Probability, Expected Value & Star Rating >>
NFL Odds, Picks & Predictions: Commanders vs. Patriots
Commanders vs. Patriots
Washington made two of the biggest moves at the trade deadline by moving DL Montez Sweat and Chase Young. This could do wonders to hamper a defensive front that was about middle of the pack in adjusted sack rate. They’re not a particularly good pass defense to begin with, ranking 30th in DVOA in that category. QB Mac Jones for New England has really had his moments where he struggled, but he also showed, against an injury-ravaged Buffalo defense a few weeks ago that he can make plays. In a game where Buffalo struggled to get pressure, Jones shined. 272 yards and 2 TDs helped him lead the Patriots to an upset win. Against this Commander defense, he can have similar success. On the other side of the ball, Washington has excelled at running the ball. However, New England has been very good at stopping the run, allowing one of the fewest yards per carry in the league. There aren’t many matchups in the league that will favor this Patriot roster, but they’ve found one this week in the Washington Commanders.
Pick: Patriots -2.5
-Ryan Rodeman
What is Betting Against the Spread?
Betting "against the spread" refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.
What is an Over/Under Bet?
Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.
What is a Moneyline Bet?
A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts
Whether you're new to sports betting or a betting pro, our Sports Betting Strategy and Advice page is for you. You can get started with our 101 section - including 10 Sports Betting Tips for Beginners - or head to more advanced strategy - like Key Numbers When Betting Against the Spread - to learn more.