Commanders vs. Rams: NFL Week 15 Odds & Picks (2023)

Gear up for another weekend of NFL action! Make sure to check in with BettingPros throughout the year for top picks and predictions for each and every NFL game. Our writers dive into their favorite picks and predictions for every remaining game on this weekend’s NFL slate. And let’s take a closer look at Commanders vs. Rams.

Go premium to view top prop bets based on Cover Probability, Expected Value & Star Rating >>

NFL Odds, Picks & Predictions: Commanders vs. Rams

Commanders vs. Rams

Did you know the Washington Commanders rank 32nd in defensive EPA, 32nd in pass defense EPA and 26th in pressure rate? This is the result of trading your top two pass rushers away, further exposing your porous secondary. Washington has also given up at least 29 points in their last four games. Matthew Stafford and the L.A. offense should have no trouble finding success through the air against this defense. The reason why I'm not as bullish on the Rams -6.5 is because Sam Howell and the Commanders could find similar success coming off their bye week. The Rams rank 22nd in defensive EPA, 21st in pass defense EPA and 27th in pressure rate. The Rams are also below average against the run, for what it's worth. This game has a bit too much variance for me to lay a big number with the Rams. But I'll gladly take the over up to the key number of 51, as there should be plenty of points to be had. And I don’t mind a play on Los Angeles’ team total going over either.

Pick: Over 50.5 (-110)

-Matt Barbato


What is Betting Against the Spread?

Betting "against the spread" refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.

What is an Over/Under Bet?

Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.

What is a Moneyline Bet?

A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.


Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google PodcastsRadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts

Whether you're new to sports betting or a betting pro, our Sports Betting Strategy and Advice page is for you. You can get started with our 101 section - including 10 Sports Betting Tips for Beginners - or head to more advanced strategy - like Key Numbers When Betting Against the Spread - to learn more.

Try Premium for FREE in our mobile app