Cowboys vs. 49ers: NFL Divisional Round Same Game Parlay Picks & Predictions (2023)
After a crazy Wild Card weekend, NFL fans have another packed weekend of playoff games to look forward to. The Sunday slate includes the two games with the tightest spreads of the weekend – Cincinnati at Buffalo and Dallas at San Francisco. Both games feature major storylines and excellent matchups. Both games also have some intriguing value available in DraftKings’ Same Game Parlay markets. Here’s a closer look at Cowboys vs. 49ers.
Check out our NFL Divisional Round Betting Guide >>
Cowboys vs. 49ers: Sunday’s Best Same Game Parlays
Leg 1: 49ers ML (-195)
Dallas looked better than I had anticipated last week, blowing out the Buccaneers in Tampa Bay. While they looked impressive on both sides of the ball, I don’t think their success will carry over into a win Sunday. The 49ers have continued to impress since rookie quarterback Brock Purdy took over. They’ve won 11 straight games, the last seven of which have been started by Purdy. Their success has been predicated on running the ball and stopping the run. Over their 11-game win streak, they’ve out-rushed every opponent they’ve played. They’ve averaged 154 yards on the ground over that stretch, compared to averaging 72 yards allowed.
I expect Dallas to be in trouble if the 49ers can make the Cowboys one-dimensional on offense. The Cowboys have thrived on a balanced offense this year, averaging 135 rushing yards and 230 passing yards per game. Unless Dallas fares better than each of the 49ers’ last 11 opponents, they’ll need to get more out of their passing game to supplement a lack of rushing production.
I think the Cowboys struggle to move the ball on Sunday, and the 49ers take care of business at home.
Leg 2: Ezekiel Elliott U34.5 Rush Yards (+115)
This prop is tied closely to the rushing stats mentioned above. Even still, fading Zeke is a great way to double down on exposure to the San Francisco run defense. Elliott has averaged just 24.7 yards per game over his last three games on a total of 40 carries in that stretch. This equates to a yards-per-carry average of under 1.9 YPC.
As mentioned before, I expect Dallas to struggle to run the ball and throw early and often. Even if they do establish a ground game, I anticipate Tony Pollard will be the more productive member of the backfield. This is a great way to get better odds on the thesis that led us toward 49ers ML.
Parlay Odds: +180
Whether you’re new to sports betting or a betting pro, our Sports Betting Strategy and Advice page is for you. You can get started with our 101 section — including 10 Sports Betting Tips for Beginners — or head to more advanced strategies — like Key Numbers When Betting Against the Spread — to learn more.
Prop Bet Analyzer: View top-rated props and historical prop performance by player >>
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts