Duke vs. Florida State: College Football Week 8 Odds & Picks

I thought we had the Colorado game wrapped up last week but the 2nd-half collapse was jaw-dropping and frustrating.  I like some teams coming off bye this week and I'm going to double-tap Florida State and against Auburn that paid off last week. Here are all of my best bets for the week. Below we dive into Duke vs. Florida State.

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College Football Week 8 Picks & Predictions: Duke vs. Florida State

Week 6 Record: 4-6 | 2023 Record: 34-36 | Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

Duke vs. Florida State

I feel like Duke is a little bit of fool’s gold on offense.  Riley Leonard is 'day-to-day' but it was a high ankle sprain and I feel like even if he does play he'll be less than 100%.   Duke did a good job shutting down NC State but backup QB Henry Belin only completed four passes in that game, Duke had to punt six times, was 1-for-9 on 3rd downs, and let NC State possess the ball for 36:56 and held them out of the endzone.

If the FSU offense gets the ball for 36 minutes they are going to put up 40 or 50 points.  Duke ranks 2nd in coverage on PFF and is 8th against the pass but they haven't seen anyone like FSU yet. Notre Dame, Clemson, and NC State are all big wins but not dangerous passing offenses. 

QB Jordan Travis is currently 4th in Heisman odds.  Keon Coleman and Johnny Wilson (who is probable now) are going to be a tough stop for Duke, especially if the offense can't conjure up anything and they give the ball up to this powerful offense too many times it's really going to get away from them.  If we had Riley Leonard at 100% I would be out on this game but with him out or playing gimpy, I think FSU wins big!

Bet: Florida State -14 (-110)

-Scott Bogman

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