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Eagles vs. Jets: NFL Week 6 Odds, Picks & Player Prop Bets

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I’m Andrew Erickson, and I’m here to guide you through each game on the NFL slate, offering insights and recommendations on sides, totals, and player props that you can quickly turn into a big single-game parlay. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just dipping your toes into the world of NFL wagering - I know that I am for the first time now that my state has legalized wagering - this primer is designed to provide you with valuable perspectives and picks for the upcoming NFL week of action. Here are my top picks for Eagles vs. Jets.

NFL Betting Primer: Eagles vs. Jets

New York Jets (NYJ +7.0) vs. Philadelphia Eagles

The undefeated Eagles head back to the East Coast to take on the Jets fresh off a win against the lowly Denver Broncos.

The Eagles defense has regressed majorly since last season, ranking 30th in red zone defense and 26th on third downs. Their pass rush and defensive line remain top-tier – first in the NFL in pressures – but they can be picked apart in the secondary if the pressure doesn’t hit home. That’s going to prove problematic for New York’s offensive line that just lost starting guard, Alijah Vera-Tucker to a torn Achilles. The Eagles’ strengths of defense are also against the run – they have allowed the fewest fantasy points to RBs this season – which puts the Jets in a tough position offensively if they can’t get Breece Hall going.

New York has the second-worst matchup this week in the trenches, per The 33rd Team’s Trenches Matchup Tool.

Meanwhile, the Jets defense has been somewhat overrated. They have shown no ability to stop the running game ranking fourth in rushing yards allowed per game. They rank 27th on third downs but have slowed teams enough in the red zone (3rd) to keep points off the board. Ultimately though, they give up a ton of yardage (22nd) because the other offense controls the pace of play.

The Eagles offense has posted over 400 yards of offense in four straight games. In yet that has resulted in just two games with a total of 40-plus points.

From a sides perspective, I am backing the Eagles as road 7-point favorites. Their defense can exploit the Jets’ poor OL and put pressure on Zach Wilson to force mistakes. Meanwhile, the Eagles possess too many playmakers and elite ground attack for Gang Green to have enough answers on defense. Comes down to the red zone where New York can “try” and keep things close against an offense that has also struggled to convert in the red zone (27th).

Spoiler they won’t.

On the side of the total, I lean under 41 points. The Eagles are 3-2 toward the under this year, while the Jets are 2-0 toward the over in their light resurgence the last two weeks. Still, one game was against the Denver Broncos. And betting AGAINST teams after they face Denver has been a profitable trend aside from last Thursday night with the Chicago Bears’ big win versus the Washington Commanders.

There’s also a chance of rain and light wind, further bolstering the case for the under.

On the props side, look no further than DeVonta Smith coming off his worst game of the season. Buy low on Smith. He still led the team in routes run. Visibly upset with the lack of usage on the sideline. Don’t envision him seeing that little involvement for a second straight game. With Sauce Gardner likely trying to cover A.J. Brown, the targets should open up for Smith to feast in the passing game.

Probably prefer the over on his 4.5 receptions more at plus-money odds (+105 BetMGM).

My Picks:

My Props:

What is Betting Against the Spread?

Betting "against the spread" refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.

What is an Over/Under Bet?

Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.

What is a Moneyline Bet?

A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.


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