Famous Idaho Potato Bowl: College Football 2022 Bowl Game Best Picks & Predictions (San Jose State vs. Eastern Michigan)
Here’s a look at the bowl-game spreads and totals for Famous Idaho Potato Bowl with my projections. You can also find my best bets. And here are all of my best bowl game bets for the upcoming week.
2022: 82-66-3 ATS (55.4%) | 2014-2021: 706-620-17 ATS (53.2%)
Note: Spreads are from the favorite’s perspective. ATL stands for “Adjusted Thor Line.†ATT stands for “Adjusted Thor Total.â€
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl: College Football 2022 Bowl Game Best Bets
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl | Boise, ID
Tuesday, December 20 | 2:30 PM
San Jose State (-4.5) vs. Eastern Michigan | Total: 54
ATL: SJSU -4.2 | ATT: 53.5
San Jose State
WR Charles Ross (Injury)
DE Grady Manley (Transfer portal)
WR Ross was a decent starter prior to going down with an undisclosed injury in the middle of the season. No clarification has been given regarding his injury or status. DE Manley played only 14 snaps this fall.
Eastern Michigan
WR Zach Westmoreland (Transfer portal)
WR Dennis Smith (Transfer portal)
WR I’Shawn Stewart (Transfer portal)
CB Isaiah Watson (Transfer portal)
All four were scantily-used backups.
Handicap
Our numbers – both on the side and with the total – are extremely close to the sportsbooks’. This one instead comes down to conviction. And we’re simply more confident in EMU.
The Eagles are a tough team that keeps games close and pulls them out. During the regular season, half of EMU’s games were one-possession outcomes. EMU went 5-1 in those games.
SJSU started 4-1 ATS. But following a tragic death of a member of the team that led to the cancellation of the New Mexico State game, the Spartans went 0-6 ATS in their last six games.
The Spartans had an opportunity to make-up the game against the Aggies during conference title week but declined. The team might just want this season to be over with.
On the field, SJSU is one of the most pass-happy teams in the nation. But pass defense is EMU’s strength – the Eagles rank No. 17 in opposing completion percentage. On the other side, EMU prefers to establish the run. SJSU’s defense struggles to stop it.
We are also galvanized by EMU HC Chris Creighton’s historical success in the postseason, where he’s gone 3-1 ATS in four career games. Getting more than a field goal feels generous. Sure, our system says the number is fair. But half the data making up that sample was from the first-half of the season when SJSU was a different team.
The pick: EMU +4.5
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