Georgia Bulldogs vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Odds & Game Pick (2021)

If we’ve learned anything this season, it’s that the playing field is much greater than in the previous couple of years. Despite being the number two team in the nation, Georgia will take the road to play against a 1-2 Vanderbilt team that has been a laughing stock in the SEC for years. However, even as a massive favorite in this game, Georgia can’t take their foot off the gas against Vanderbilt. Georgia is out here proving that they are the top team in college football and one slip-up will change everyone’s mind. Just ask Clemson after their performance against Georgia Tech last week.

Let's take a look at this weekend's matchup to find some betting value.

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Details

  • Opening Line: Georgia -32.5, O/U 51.5
  • Current Line: Georgia -34, O/U 51.5
  • Last meeting: August 31, 2019, Georgia 30, Vanderbilt 6

Overview 

Georgia has started the season 3-0 and looks like a true college football playoff contender. They’ve already taken down Clemson, 10-3, and have massive wins against UAB and South Carolina with a combined score between those two games of 106-20.

Going into their game against South Carolina, there was talk about how good South Carolina’s defense can be. With talk about JT Daniels and Stetson Bennett being questionable for that game, many thought Georgia could be in for a rude awakening. Instead, Georgia went out and started Daniels while also giving Stetson Bennett a drive against South Carolina. Both quarterbacks are healthy and looking great.

Daniels went 23-for-31 against South Carolina, throwing for over 300 yards of offense with three touchdowns and one interception. When the offense has Daniels under center, they’re going to be tough to defend. He’s got playmakers all around the field and while the pass protection can be a little bit better, against the low-tier SEC teams, they’ll be just fine.

Defensively, Georgia has allowed just 7.7 points per game through three games this season. The defense has been electric, holding teams to just 216.7 yards per game along with only 70.3 yards on the ground. The tackling has been premier and the pass rush has helped Georgia’s coverage look elite. The rushing defense can be a problem at times but ultimately, Georgia’s shown that they’re the best defense in college football right now.

Vanderbilt has struggled offensively. Georgia could put together a shutout or something close to it. The Commodores are averaging just 208.3 yards in the passing game this season while scoring under 17 points per game. Sophomore Ken Seals has thrown an average of one interception per game while also completing three touchdowns on the season. His play has been subpar and that’s also due to the dreadful offensive line at Vanderbilt. They’re going to really struggle against this Georgia defense.

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Trends 

  • Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • Commodores are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.
  • Over is 5-0 in Bulldogs last 5 conference games.

Bottom Line 

Not only does Georgia dominate defensively, but they come out strong offensively against conference opponents. Against South Carolina, the Bulldogs scored 40 points and helped put the game over while South Carolina added 13 points. Vanderbilt likely won’t get double figures in this game. Honestly, I’d be shocked if the Commodores are able to complete 20 passes in this game. Vanderbilt will move backward more times than not against Georgia. I hate laying the points but it only makes sense. A 45-0 win is in the cards for Georgia. They’re an elite team playing one of the worst teams in terms of pass protection in college football.

Pick: Georgia -34 (-110)

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Jason Radowitz is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Jason, check out his archive and follow him @Jason_Radowitz.

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