Giants vs. Commanders: NFL Sunday Night Football Same Game Parlay (Week 15)
On Sunday night, the Giants and Commanders will face off in a key NFC East matchup. Both teams sit at 7-5-1, and the winner of this game will be close to locking in a Wild Card spot in the NFL while the loser will need some wins down the stretch to get into the playoffs.
With the Commanders favored by 4.5 and a total of 40.5 on the game, this projects to be a low-scoring and competitive game. I’ll be rolling with this three-leg parlay offered on DraftKings Sportsbook.
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Leg 1: Giants +7.5 (-185)
After a strong start to the season, the Giants have faded a bit in the last few weeks. They’re 0-3-1 over their last four games, with the tie coming at home to Washington. In spite of this, I think they’ll play well enough on Sunday to keep things close.
Washington, on the other hand, has been hot in recent weeks. They’re 3-0-1 in their last four including a huge win over the Eagles. While their record has been great, they tend to win games with solid late-game execution and big plays from Taylor Heinecke in the clutch. They rarely blow their opponents out – only two of their seven wins have come by more than seven points.
The last time these two teams played, the Giants dominated most of the game and held a late lead before the Commanders tied the game with a long end-of-game drive. Given the low total on this game, the history between these two teams, and Washington’s track record of letting teams hang with them, I think the Giants keep this game within seven points.
Leg 2: Daniel Jones 25+ Rush Yards (-170)
While his passing can leave something to be desired at times, Daniel Jones has always been a threat to beat teams on the ground. He has 548 rushing yards this season on a 5.8 yards per carry average. Jones has rushed for at least 20 yards in 5 of his last 6 games and has at least 5 carries in all but two games this year. Even more surprising, he has a run of double-digit yardage in all but three games this year.
Washington, on the other hand, ranks in the bottom quarter of the league in terms of stopping opposing quarterbacks from rushing the ball. The Commanders give up 22.4 yards per game on the ground to opposing QBs. Against Washington, opposing QBs carry the ball 5.2 times per game on average – the fifth-most in the NFL.
If the Commanders can get pressure on Sunday night and force Jones to run, he should break 25 yards with ease.
Leg 3: Richie James 30+ Receiving Yards (+130)
In recent weeks, Richie James has stepped up as a contributor in the Giants’ depleted WR core. James has 18 catches for 170 yards over his last four games. Even more impressive, these 18 catches have come on just 21 targets – an 86% catch rate.
With the Giants coming into the game as underdogs, there’s a good chance they’ll have moderate-to-high passing volume on Sunday night. Washington allows 13.7 yards per catch, a bottom-five mark in the NFL. Given James’ target share and conversion rate, and the Commanders’ propensity to allow larger chunks of yardage per catch, 30 yards seems like a feasible threshold for James to break. Given the +130 odds, I love this leg of the parlay.
Parlay Odds: +400
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