Houston Texans vs. Miami Dolphins Odds & Game Pick (2021)

This is an AFC battle of two teams that are in a downward spiral as they both will try to snap seven-game losing streaks. Unfortunately, the biggest news recently about these two teams was less about the upcoming matchup and more about the trade that never happened.

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Details

• Opening Lines: Dolphins -7; O/U 45
• Current Lines: Dolphins -7; O/U 45
• Location: Hard Rock Stadium- Miami, FL
• Start Time: 1:05 p.m. EDT
• TV: FOX
• Last Meeting: October 25, 2018 - Dolphins 23, Texans 42

The Miami Dolphins had a lot of expectations after going 10-6 last season, but they have vastly underwhelmed this year. After an initial win in Week 1, they've now lost seven straight. They held down their AFC East rivals Buffalo for the first half last week as they went into halftime tied at three, but the wheels fell off in the second half. They would go on to lose 26-11. Injuries have hurt them on the offensive side as Tua Tagovailoa has missed time, same with DeVante Parker, and newly acquired Will Fuller is out for the season. Also, the defense that was great at forcing turnovers last year hasn't been able to stop the ball.

The Texans look to be rebuilding as they traded some players before the deadline, including running back Mark Ingram. They should get back Tyrod Taylor from injury, which I guess is a step up, but their defense is still one of the league’s worse. They also had a win in Week 1 but haven't won since.

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Trends

• Houston is 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last five games against Miami.
• Miami is 0-4-1 ATS in its last five games.
• The total has hit the under in four of Houston’s last six games.
• The total has hit the under in five of Miami’s last six games against AFC South opponents.

Overview

For as bad as Miami has been, at least they have kept games close. Four of their losses have come by three points or less, and if you look at the Dolphins in the position-by-position matchup, they hold the advantage everywhere. This game probably won't be pretty, but the Dolphins should pull this one out.

Pick: Dolphins -7

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