Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Odds & Game Pick (2022)

Already guaranteed the #1 overall pick in April’s draft, the Jaguars have nothing more than the role of spoiler to play for in this one. For the Colts, they need a win on Sunday in Jacksonville to secure a spot in the playoffs, this coming on the heals last play defeat last week vs. the Raiders.

Let’s take a look at who has the edge in this, on paper, lopsided affair.

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Details

• Opening Line: Jaguars +14.5, O/U 44
• Current Line: Jaguars +15.5, O/U 44
• Last meeting: November 14, 2021, Jaguars 17, Colts 23

Overview

It’s been another season to forget in Jacksonville, as the Urban Meyer experiment lasted just 13 regular-season games and their #1 overall pick got worse each and every week in the process. After starting out the season strong, Trevor Lawrence continued to regress as the circus swirled around him internally, and comes into the last game of the season with a touchdown to interception ratio of 10:17. Last week in New England, Lawrence threw three interceptions as the Jaguars got boat raced once again, this time 50-10.

As for the Colts, six wins in seven games through November and December carried this team from the dumps to the brink of clinching a spot in the AFC playoffs. In the process, quarterback Carson Wentz has played well, but the real story with this team has been the rushing attack.

Behind second-year running back Jonathan Taylor, the Colts racked up 152.9 rushing yards per game to rank #2 in the league heading into this game.

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Trends

• Under is 7-1 in Colts L8 vs. AFC South
• Colts are 6-0 ATS in L6 games
• Jaguars are 0-7 ATS in L7 games

Bottom Line

While oddsmakers have decided unanimously that this one will be a blowout, I’m not so sure of that being the case. Looking back over the Colts’ last four visits to Jacksonville, they’ve lost all four and failed to cover by a combined 57 points.

In the end, with the playoffs on the line and superior talent and coaching, I like for the Colts to win this one outright but for the Jags to keep it close.

Pick: Jaguars +15.5

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