Get ready for the highly anticipated boxing match between Jake Paul and Nate Diaz, which is scheduled to take place on August 5, 2023, at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. This 10-round bout features two prominent figures from different combat sports backgrounds. YouTuber-turned-boxer Jake Paul is looking to bounce back from his first professional boxing loss, while MMA superstar Nate Diaz is making his pro boxing debut. Here, we’ll provide an in-depth sports betting preview for the fight, including odds, best bets, and predictions, tailored for the sports betting audience eager to place their wagers on this matchup.
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Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz Betting Preview
Jake Paul, known as 'The Problem Child,' returns after his defeat to Tommy Fury. On the other side, Nate Diaz is making his professional boxing debut after a lengthy and successful MMA career. Both fighters have large personalities and followings, and this matchup could be one of the more entertaining ones in this series.
Fighter Backgrounds
Jake Paul, at 6-1 with 4 KOs, has shown significant improvement in his boxing skills and has garnered attention as a legitimate professional boxer rather than just an influencer. He returns to the ring after suffering a split decision loss to Tommy Fury in February, seeking redemption against Diaz. On the other hand, Nate Diaz, a legendary UFC fighter known for his epic victory over Conor McGregor, will transition to professional boxing for the first time after spending nearly two decades in MMA.
Current Odds
The odds favor Jake Paul as the favorite, with sportsbooks offering him around -360 (implied chance of approximately 78.26%). DraftKings has the odds all the way up to -425. Meanwhile, Nate Diaz enters the bout as the underdog with odds ranging from +265 to +350 (implied chance of approximately 27.40% to 22%). The odds have shifted over time, with Paul’s favoritism increasing as more bets have come in on his side.
Best Bets
Jake Paul Moneyline (-425)
Sure, the return is small unless you bet a ton of money. But Paul is heavily favored for a reason.
Jake Paul to win by decision (+350)
Considering Diaz’s experience and toughness, the fight might go the distance. Betting on Paul to win by decision could offer a higher payout for bettors that a straight moneyline bet on the outcome.
Nate Diaz by KO/TKO/DQ (+600)
Given what we know about Diaz, if he wins, it’s going to be via a knockout. I don’t think anyone expects him to be careful and tactical and attempt to win this by decision. That just isn’t his style. He’s going to take big swings and take chances. He’ll probably take a beating in the process. But if he can land the right punches, he definitely has the power to knock Paul out.
Either Fighter to be Knocked Down in Rounds 1-6 (-250)
That’s it. That’s all you need is one knockdown of EITHER fighter in the first six rounds. This one feels like a no-brainer based on these two fighters, especially at just -250.
Diaz to be Knocked Down 2+ Times and Paul to Win by Decision (+1000)
The odds make this one easily worth the dart throw. Diaz is hard to knock out, and he can take a beating. Even if he wins the fight, he’ll probably take his fair share of lumps in the process. But as we talked about in the Diaz by KO bet, he’s going to take risks.
Predictions
Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz is going to be wild. Jake Paul’s enhanced boxing proficiency and physical advantage could potentially give him an upper hand during the match. However, Nate Diaz’s resilience and experience may prolong the fight, possibly leading it to the later rounds. The most likely outcome appears to be a decision victory for Jake Paul, but these events have proven to be unpredictable, and Diaz is a wild card because of his personality, fighting style, and inexperience.
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