Jon Rahm 2023 British Open Odds, Picks & Predictions

It’s homecoming week for Rory McIlroy at the British Open.

Well, not exactly. McIlroy is a native of Northern Ireland and currently resides in Jupiter, Florida. This year's British Open (or "Open Championship," if you're a purist) is being held at Royal Liverpool (aka "Hoylake") in Wirral, England.

But McIlroy hoisted the Claret Jug the last time the Open was held at Royal Liverpool, besting Rickie Fowler and Sergio Garcia by two shots in 2014, and he returns nine years later as the betting favorite.

Who could have imagined that Rory would go nine years without winning a major? He won both the Open and the PGA Championship in 2014 — his third and fourth major championships. He was only 25 at the time.

Can Rory end the majors drought at a course where he's tasted victory before? It won't be easy, as world No. 1-ranked player Scottie Scheffler, 2023 Masters champion Jon Rahm and 2023 PGA champ Brooks Koepka all have designs on the Jug.

Fans of true links golf and the creative shotmaking it requires should be excited about the Open Championship's return to Hoylake. The course will be firm and fast, and we'll see a lot of players landing their approach shots in front of the green and bouncing the ball onto the putting surface.

McIlroy posted a winning score of -17 in 2014. Tiger Woods finished at -18 when he won the Open at Hoylake in 2006. But if the wind howls, we could easily see a winning score in the neighborhood of -7 or -8.

The British Open champion is granted the title of Champion Golfer of the Year. Let's take a closer look at some of the players vying for that honor.

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Jon Rahm 2023 British Open Best Bets

Here is our betting outlook and picks for Jon Rahm.

Jon Rahm 2023 British Open Betting Stats to Know

  • Best odds to win: +1200 (BetMGM, PointsBet)
  • World ranking: 2
  • Best British Open finish: T3 (2021)
  • Last four British Open finishes: T34, T3, T11, CUT
  • Last four tournament finishes: CUT, T10, T16, T50

Jon Rahm 2023 British Open Betting Outlook

After putting on a clinic with four outright wins earlier in the PGA Tour season, Jon Rahm has cooled off in recent events. The Spaniard is still ranked second in total strokes gained, including 23rd strokes gained putting, giving him a decisive edge whenever the flatstick cooperates. Rahm is automatic when it comes to finding greens in regulation, ranked third on the PGA Tour at better than a 71 percent conversion rate, plus he's 12th in total driving.

Jon Rahm 2023 British Open Betting Advice

12/1 are short odds for golf outright tickets, so despite Rahm’s ability to win any hole with most clubs, I'm fading him at this number based on his recent T50 finish and missed cut.

More 2023 British Open Golfer Odds & Picks

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