Lions vs. Cardinals NFL Picks & Player Prop Bets (Week 3)
Introducing the Week 3 edition of the BettingPros primer, brought to you by Bettingpros.com! I'm Andrew Erickson, and I'm here to guide you through each game on the NFL slate, offering insights and recommendations on sides, totals, and player props that you can quickly turn into a big single-game parlay.
Whether you're a seasoned bettor or just dipping your toes into the world of NFL wagering, this primer is designed to provide you with valuable perspectives and picks for the upcoming NFL week of action.
Get ready to tackle the NFL season with a betting lens as we break down the Week 3 matchups and identify our favorite bets and picks. Here are my top picks for the game between the Lions vs. Cardinals.
Check out the rest of Andrew Erickson’s Week 3 Betting Primer>>
Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals
- The Lions have covered the spread in five of their last six road games.
- The Lions have covered the spread as favorites in seven of their last nine games.
- The Detroit Lions are 10-6 ATS over their last 16 games.
- The Lions are the No. 1-ranked team ATS since Dan Campbell was hired as the head coach (72%)-the most profitable teams against the spread to bet on since the halfway point of the 2021 season.
- The Lions have been just below 70% ATS favorites since the start of 2023.
- Arizona is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games.
Totals:
- Eight of the Cardinals’ last nine home games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Nine of the Lions' last 14 games have gone OVER the total points line.
Overall:
The Lions offense has let us down in back-to-back weeks, coming up just short of the games' projected totals. But if any offense will "regress to the mean" in Week 3, it's Detroit. Keep this in mind.
Jared Goff leads the NFL in red-zone pass attempts without a red-zone TD pass (19). The points are coming.
And it will likely be here in Week 3 against the Cardinals. If Ford Field were the Coors Field of the NFL, then State Farm Stadium would be either Great American Ball Park or Yankee Stadium. Eight of the Cardinals’ last nine home games have gone OVER the total points line.
It’s the third straight week betting on the Lions' over. What could go wrong?
As for the sides, I don't see why Arizona isn't in it. They've shown out the first two weeks and are building momentum as a threat in the NFC West. If it's a shootout, then it's anybody's game.
Like last week, the underdog was the value selection against the Lions. Rinse and repeat with the Red Birds as HOME underdogs.
Ask yourself, is the better QB even favored here?
Player Props:
Slot WRs have destroyed the Lions. Cooper Kupp (14) and Chris Godwin (7) have SAILED over their reception numbers versus Detroit.
Sam LaPorta has taken a backseat in the Lions' offense due to the emergence of Jameson Williams. He's been under 4.5 catches in both games this season. And last year, when Williams played, he averaged 4.5 catches in just 53% of his games. Given that Arizona has allowed a combined just two catches to opposing No. 1 TEs this season, the UNDER on LaPorta is the move.
My Picks: