LSU Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide & Game Pick (2021)

The race for the championship games in the SEC is starting to heat up as Georgia and Alabama have commanding leads, but anything can happen over these last few games left in the season. A farewell Ed Orgeron tour is underway for the LSU Tigers as they look to send off their storied coach with some final wins to close out his tenure.

Let’s take a closer look at the game itself.

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Details

  • Opening Line: Crimson Tide -28.5, O/U 65
  • Current Line: Crimson Tide -28.5, O/U 66

Overview 

When the #2 Crimson Tide takes the field in Tuscaloosa on Saturday, they’ll be looking to do what they always are; not just win, but make a statement. Coming off a bye, I think they just might. First-year starting quarterback Bryce Young has continued to make strides all season, as he comes into this one with 2,453 yards and 26 touchdowns on the season, as well as just three interceptions.

Things have gone from bad to worse for the visiting Tigers this season after losing incumbent QB starter Myles Brennan at the start of the season, and QB carousel has ensued. In this one, Max Johnson will get the start again but has had little help around. With one of the worst rushing attacks in the country, Johnson should once again be left out to dry in this one against an elite pass rush like Alabama.

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Trends 

  • Tiger 5-1 to the Under in L6 as an underdog
  • Away team is 5-0 ATS in L5 meetings

Bottom Line

Even without the bye week, the Crimson Tide would likely be a four-touchdown favorite in this one, and that feels about right. They do, however, get the added benefit of getting running back Tre Bradford back in this one for the first time this season which I think should give them a boost offensively.

Facing a quarterback in Young who has been good but not special, I think we see Coach O’s defense play better than they have been and manage to keep this one inside 28 before it ends.

Pick: Tigers +28.5

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