Matthew Freedman’s Favorite Final 4 March Madness Player Props (2022)
On my to-do list for the week, under Thursday morning I have “FF player props.â€
Now, it’s Thursday morning (about 7 a.m. ET, 6 a.m. where I live in Dubuque, IA), and I’m looking at my to-do list trying to figure out what I meant by “FF player props†whenever I wrote that down on Sunday night.
Fantasy football player props? That doesn’t make sense for March 31. Final Fantasy player props? That sounds cool, but I don’t think there’s actually a legal market for that.
Final 4 player props? There we go! It’s all coming together.
March is almost over, but the Madness continues this Saturday night.
With three games left to go, I am 224-201 (+5.1 units) on March Madness player props. Honestly, it’s disappointing, but at least I haven't lost money, and given that I know almost nothing about college basketball I suppose not going broke is a strong outcome.
Despite my ignorance of the sport, I've created crude player projections for the past two March Madnesses and used them to make bets in the prop market. I've had success.
- In 2019, I went 125-69-12 (+39.8 units) on March Madness player props.
- In 2021, I went 105-64-1 (+33.8 units) on March Madness player props.
Let's see if I can do better for the Final 4.
Here are some bets I like for Saturday’s two games. For all bets with negative odds, I wager to win a unit. For all bets with positive odds, I wager a unit.
NOTE: To see my March Madness prop plays as quickly as possible, check out the FREE BettingPros Discord, where I post my plays in the March Madness channel before submitting my article.
Compare all March Madness Player Prop Odds Across Sportsbooks >>
All odds are from the following sportsbooks.
Villanova vs. Kansas
- Date: Saturday, Apr. 2, 2022
- Start Time: 6:09 p.m. ET
- Location: Caesars Superdome – New Orleans, LA
- Coverage: TBS
- Spread: Kansas -4.5
- Total: 133
Check out my Villanova-Kansas player projections piece.
Villanova Player Props
- Eric Dixon Under 8.5 Points (-106, FanDuel)
- Caleb Daniels Under 12.5 Points (-120, DraftKings)
- Jermaine Samuels Under 14.5 Points (-105, PointsBet)
- Eric Dixon Under 6.5 Rebounds (+100, FanDuel)
Kansas Player Props
- Remy Martin Under 11.5 Points (+105, Caesars)
- David McCormack Over 6.5 Rebounds (-110, DraftKings)
- Jalen Wilson Over 7.5 Rebounds (-133, PointsBet)
North Carolina vs. Duke
- Date: Saturday, Apr. 2, 2022
- Start Time: 8:49 p.m. ET
- Location: Caesars Superdome – New Orleans, LA
- Coverage: TBS
- Spread: Duke -4.5
- Total: 151
Check out my North Carolina-Duke player projections piece.
North Carolina Player Props
- Brady Manek Over 5.5 Rebounds (-130, Caesars)
- Caleb Love Over 3.5 Rebounds (+112, FanDuel)
- Leaky Black Over 4.5 Rebounds (+130, Caesars)
- Armando Bacot Over 12.5 Rebounds (-133, PointsBet)
Duke Player Props
- Mark Williams Over 13.5 Points (+100, DraftKings)
- AJ Griffin Over 11.5 Points (-133, PointsBet)
- Jeremy Roach Under 10.5 Points (-120, FanDuel)
- Paolo Banchero Over 7.5 Rebounds (+115, DraftKings)
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