Matthew Freedman’s NFL Week 8 Early Bets and Trends
For the past few NFL seasons, each Sunday night I’ve written an early bets piece highlighting some applicable trends I’ve noticed for the upcoming week.
I’m not a trends bettor, but I find that historical situational data helps me identify spots I should consider further when analyzing games.
So here are some trends for Week 8 as well as a few early bets I like based on the current lines in the market and my early personal projections, which I will update throughout the week along with our premium BettingPros spread projections.
Prop Bet Analyzer: View top rated props and historical prop performance by player >>
Note: These aren’t all the trends I’m seeing and all the early bets I like. These are just a few of them. For more of my early Week 8 bets, check out the BettingPros App.
All lines and odds are from the BettingPros NFL odds page and as of Oct. 23. All the historical trends information is from Action Network and goes back to 2003. Abbreviations: Against the spread (ATS), return on investment (ROI), moneyline (ML).
Arizona Cardinals at Minnesota Vikings
Check out our Cardinals at Vikings matchup page.
- Kickoff: Sunday, Oct. 30, 2022, 1 pm ET
- Location: U.S. Bank Stadium
- TV: FOX
Cardinals at Vikings: Consensus Lines
- Spread: Vikings -4
- Over/Under: 48
- Moneyline: Vikings -235, Cardinals +185
Arizona Cardinals Trends
- HC Kliff Kingsbury: 19-7-2 ATS (39.1% ROI) on road
- HC Kliff Kingsbury: 21-9-2 ATS (33.8% ROI) as underdog
- HC Kliff Kingsbury: 15-3-2 ATS (55.3% ROI) as road underdog
Cardinals at Vikings: Early Bet
- Best Line: Cardinals +5 (-109, BetRivers)
- Early Projection: Cardinals +3
Note: I first posted this pick in the BettingPros app via the lookahead line of +5.5.
By the way, if you like a shorter underdog, historically it has been more profitable to bet it on the moneyline than against the spread. This has been the case for underdogs of less than a touchdown.
Las Vegas Raiders at New Orleans Saints
Check out our Raiders at Saints matchup page.
- Kickoff: Sunday, Oct. 30, 2022, 1 pm ET
- Location: Caesars Superdome
- TV: CBS
Raiders at Saints: Consensus Lines
- Spread: Raiders -2
- Over/Under: 47
- Moneyline: Raiders -135, Saints -135
Las Vegas Raiders Trends
- QB Derek Carr: 15-25-1 ATS (20.7% ROI for faders) as favorite
- 2022 Favorites: 45-60-1 ATS (9.2% ROI for faders)
Raiders at Saints: Early Bet
- Best Line: Saints +2.5 (-110, DraftKings)
- Early Projection: Pick’Em
New York Giants at Seattle Seahawks
Check out our Giants at Seahawks matchup page.
- Kickoff: Sunday, Oct. 30, 2022, 4:25 pm ET
- Location: Lumen Field
- TV: FOX
Giants at Seahawks: Consensus Lines
- Spread: Seahawks -2.5
- Over/Under: 46.5
- Moneyline: Seahawks -140, Giants +114
New York Giants Trends
- QB Daniel Jones: 14-6 ATS (35.6% ROI) on road
- QB Daniel Jones: 22-13 ATS (21.1% ROI) as underdog
- QB Daniel Jones: 13-4 ATS (48.1% ROI) as road underdog
Giants at Seahawks: Early Bet
- Best Line: Giants +2.5 (-104, FanDuel)
- Early Projection: Giants +1.5
Prop Bet Analyzer: View top rated props and historical prop performance by player >>
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