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Minnesota Vikings NFL Betting Preview: Odds, Picks, & Best Bet (2022)

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The summer is here, and the start of the NFL season will be here before we know it. Now is the time to start digging into NFL futures, both team futures and player futures. NFL futures can be great ways to profit during the upcoming season. We'll have you covered throughout the offseason with updated news and odds for all futures and Week 1 odds. Let's look at updated 2022 NFL team win totals and futures odds.

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Minnesota Vikings Super Bowl Odds (+4500)

The Minnesota Vikings are an interesting team to evaluate this upcoming season. Aside from key personnel changes, the Vikings haven't made any significant roster moves this offseason. However, that doesn't mean we can overlook the recent head coaching change from defensive-minded Mike Zimmer to the new and flashy Kevin O'Connell (former Los Angeles Rams offensive coordinator).

While O'Connell may light a spark in the offense by constructing a new pass-heavy style of play, it will likely not make the Vikings instant Super Bowl contenders. Minnesota has won zero Super Bowls in franchise history. They have not appeared in a Super Bowl since the 1976-77 NFL season. Don't expect this to be the year it finally happens.

Minnesota Vikings Conference Winner Odds (+2000)

As previously mentioned, the Vikings have not won the NFC Conference since the 1976-77 season. However, people do forget the Vikings recently made the NFC Conference Championship in the 2017-18 season with Case Keenum at the helm. They did lose 38-7 to the Philadelphia Eagles, but more importantly, they were one win away from the Super Bowl with an arguably far-less talented roster.

Looking back at the past seven NFC Champions since the famed Legion of Boom, these teams have averaged 30.6 ppg, ranking 2.7th on average in the NFL. A recent trend has emerged where an elite offense has represented the NFC, whether that be the 2015-16 Carolina Panthers, 2016-17 Atlanta Falcons, or the 2018-19 Los Angeles Rams, to name a few.

The question is:  Can the Minnesota Vikings be an elite offense in 2022-23? After averaging 25.0 ppg in 2021-22, the Vikings retained practically their entire offense and also added the offensive mastermind behind Cooper Kupp's emergence in Los Angeles. If O'Connell successfully implements a new pass-heavy offense with Justin Jefferson as the primary focus, the Vikings could be a darkhorse to eclipse 30.0 ppg this season. For that reason, I find value in the Vikings (+2000) as a sleeper to win the NFC.

Minnesota Vikings Division Winner Odds (+300)

The last time the Vikings won the NFC North was 2017. However, there are two important notes about that magical season:

1. Aaron Rodgers missed nine games, and the Green Bay Packers finished just 7-9.
2. The GOAT, Keenum, had the best season of his career.

Furthermore, the 2017 Vikings' defense ranked first in the NFL in points against, allowing only 15.8 ppg. Now Rodgers is 100% healthy, the 2021 Vikings gave up 25.1 ppg on defense and worst of all, Keenum is not on the roster.

However, the 2017 Vikings only averaged 23.9 ppg on offense. In comparison, the 2021 Vikings averaged 25.0 ppg. As mentioned, a recent coaching change in Minnesota could allow for a far more explosive Vikings offense in 2022. While the defense may not be what it was in 2017, the offense could take a big enough step forward to compete for the division this season. I see value in the Vikings to win the NFC North at +300 odds.

Minnesota Vikings Win Totals Over/Under Odds (O8.5 -155 | U9 +105)

This season, the betting market is split on the Vikings, with win totals ranging from 8.5 to 9.5. Minnesota has achieved nine or more wins in just four of the last 12 seasons. While it may seem unlikely based on recent performances, I feel the Vikings are primed for at least a nine-win season. Vegas has Minnesota favored in nine games this upcoming season by an average spread of -0.5. A significant improvement should be made from the Vikings’ 8-9 record last season.

In the 2021 season, Minnesota experienced six games decided by a field goal or less, but their record in said games was just 2-4 (33.3%). Although the Vikings ranked middle of the pack at 17th for both overall offensive and defensive efficiency, they should experience positive regression in 2022.

With Kevin O'Connell in control of the team, we should see a completely revamped offense with an emphasis on the passing game. More importantly, this new receiver-friendly offense will have Jefferson as the focal point. Jefferson already has the most receiving yards in a player's first two seasons in NFL history with 3,016. Reports out of camp expect Jefferson to take on a hyper-targeted role similar to Cooper Kupp last season. The Viking's potential of recreating or even surpassing the 2021 Los Angeles Rams offense makes them an easy bet to reach nine wins this season. I will be betting over 8.5 total wins at -155 odds.

Minnesota Vikings to Make the Playoffs Odds (Yes +105 | No -105)

The top of the NFC is loaded with talent. However, when examining the 2021 playoff picture, one team sticks out as a likely candidate for negative regression. That team is the Arizona Cardinals. Assuming the Vikings take the next step this season and become an elite offense in the NFL, there is no reason they shouldn't be able to replace the Cardinals in the 2022 playoffs. If you don't like the +300 odds to win the NFC North, then I recommend taking the Vikings to make the playoffs at +105 odds. If the Packers remain top dogs of the NFC North, expect the Vikings to be vying for one of the three available wild card spots.

Favorite Minnesota Vikings Futures Bet

  • Over 8.5 Wins (-155)

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