MLB Best Bets, Picks & Predictions: Sunday (6/4)
It’s an action-packed Sunday!
Not only do we get MLB throughout the day today, but we’ll also get Game 2 of the NBA Finals tonight.
The goal is to make some profit before the NBA Finals. Then we can play with house money for the NBA game.
Consider these two bets for today’s MLB slate.
Check out MLB Home Run Odds for all players in today's games >>
Sunday’s Best MLB Bets
All wagers are 1 unit
(Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook)
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins
The Cleveland Guardians will start Triston McKenzie for the first time this season. McKenzie has a career 3.68 ERA through 64 games for the Guardians. In 2022, he finished with a 2.96 ERA in 31 games.
McKenzie has a 4.29 xFIP in 2022 and added 25.6% of strikeouts with just 5.9% of walks. He’s not going to earn a ton of ground balls. However, he limited batters to 19% of line drives last year.
He’s facing a Twins lineup that has struck out close to 27% of the time against righties in the last 30 days. Minnesota has also walked just 7.1% of the time with their projected lineup and has four batters hitting a wOBA of .289 or lower.
Meanwhile, Joe Ryan will get the start for the Twins. Ryan has struck out 28% of batters and has walked 5.9% over the last month. He’s also kept line drives down over the last 30 days, allowing only 15.4% of line drives.
He’ll face a Guardians lineup that is hitting a wOBA of .299. This projected lineup has hit nearly 49% of ground balls and under 20% of line drives.
I’m backing the Under.
Bet: Under 7.5 (-115)
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
It seems like Michael Kopech has turned things around. He’s 3-5 with a 4.52 ERA. However, he’s earned at least nine strikeouts in his last three starts for the White Sox. In the last 30 days, he’s averaged 30% of strikeouts and is giving up only 20% of line drives.
He’ll face a projected Tigers lineup with a .094 ISO and wOBA of .275 against righties in the last month. Drtroit’s offense has been hideous against righties.
On the flip side, Matt Boyd will get the start for the Tigers. He’s a lefty with a 5.48 xFIP in the last month. Boyd has earned less than 40% of grounders and is giving up close to 11% of walks.
Chicago’s lineup should have nine righties stacked up. The White Sox’s projected lineup has hit a .198 ISO and wOBA of .356 as a lineup against lefties.
Therefore, I’ll rock with the White Sox on the moneyline. You can go with the run line if you want to be a bit more risky. The White Sox match up very well today against the Tigers.
Bet: White Sox (-174)
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Sunday:
- NBA Playoffs Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions
- NBA Playoffs First Basket Scorer Prop Bet Odds, Picks & Predictions
- MLB PrizePicks Player Predictions
- WNBA Best Bets Odds, Picks, & Predictions
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