MLB Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions for Tuesday: Phillies vs. Braves (10/11)
The Cleveland Guardians were the only favorite to win their Wild Card series, as the Seattle Mariners, Philadelphia Phillies, and San Diego Padres advanced as underdogs. Given the new structure of the MLB playoff format, the four teams that got byes figure to have a significant advantage with extra rest and having their pitching rotation lined up. But there will also be a “rest vs. rust†element of today’s games, as some will argue having six days off at this point of the season will be more of a detriment than an advantage.
How will today’s games play out? Here are our best bets for Tuesday’s MLB action: Phillies vs. Braves.
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings)
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MLB Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions for Tuesday: Phillies vs. Braves
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves O/U
Braves southpaw Max Fried finished with an identical 14-7 record as last season, but his ERA was more than a half-run lower (2.48 compared to 3.04), and he was rewarded with his first All-Star game appearance this year. Fried finished the regular season second in BB/9, third in K:BB ratio, eighth in WHIP, ninth in innings pitched, and tenth in WAR. He does not allow hard contact, ranking in the 90th percentile or better in average exit velocity, hard-hit, and barrel percentage. In addition, he has an elite chase rate (91st percentile) and an xSLG of .328, the second-lowest of his career.
We expect Suarez to match zeros with Fried, as he has held current Braves to a .219/.299/.353 slash line. He has allowed eight extra-base hits in 105 plate appearances and has more strikeouts (24) than hits allowed (23).
Each of Atlanta’s last four daytime playoff games at Truist Park has gone under the projected total, and we expect that trend to continue in this game.
Bet: Phillies-Braves Under 7 Runs (+100 at DraftKings)
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Mike Spector is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeSpector01.