Top 3 MLB Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: Friday, September 9 (2022)
Some of you might’ve taken a break from betting baseball last night with the NFL game on. But tonight, there’s no NFL, so you’re returning to MLB.
I’ve got three best bets for tonight’s slate. We’ve been hot over the last two weeks. So take note!
(Odds courtesy DraftKings)
View the best player prop bets for tonight’s slate with our MLB Prop Bet Cheat Sheet >>
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins
The Cleveland Guardians and Minnesota Twins are in a massive race for the AL Central. These two teams will play against one another, while the Chicago White Sox will take on the Oakland Athletics. The AL Central is anyone’s race.
The Guardians have hit just a .100 ISO and wOBA of .276 against righties over the last 30 days. That’s the bad news. However, the good news is that the Guardians have only struck out 13.8% of the time against righties in that same time frame.
Dylan Bundy will get the call for the Twins. The righty has struck out just 10.1% of batters over the last month while earning under 35% of ground balls when balls are batted into play.
On the other hand, Cal Quantrill is expected to take the mound for the Guardians. Quantrill has a 4.80 xFIP but has a BABIP of .190 over the last 30 days.
Minnesota is hitting a .128 ISO with a wOBA of .298 and has struck out 21.6% of the time using their projected lineup against righties in the last 30 days.
Neither offense has impressed recently, but the Guardians will put the ball in play and have more opportunities to win this game.
Bet: Guardians (-110 at DraftKings)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres
The Dodgers will travel to San Diego for a weekend series. Dustin May is slated to get the first start for the Dodgers. Over the last 30 days, May has struck out 27.3% of batters while earning 54.1% of ground balls when balls are batted into play.
May also has limited line drives and rarely allows hard contact when pitching. On the other hand, the Padres have struck out 24.1% of the time against righties over the last month with their projected lineup. Only Manny Machado has been truly effective at the plate in that period against righties.
On the other hand, Mike Clevinger will get the start for the Padres. He’s got a 6.90 xFIP in the last 30 days. He’s also walked 11.4% of batters faced while striking out only 14.3% of batters over the previous month.
Clevinger is allowing a .170 ISO to lefties and a .205 ISO to righties in that same time frame. Meanwhile, the Dodgers are hitting a .207 ISO and wOBA of .337 with their projected lineup. Los Angeles has also earned over 10% of walks against righties in the last 30 days.
I’ll grab the Dodgers at -165 on the road.
Bet: Dodgers (-165 at DraftKings)
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners
Anytime you can get the Braves when facing a lefty, it’s recommended.
The Braves’ projected lineup is hitting a .219 ISO with a wOBA of .408 against lefties over the last month. This same lineup has only struck out 14.8% of the time, and they’ve also earned 9.8% of walks against lefties.
Robbie Ray will get the start for the Mariners. He has a 4.08 xFIP with 28.1% f strikeouts. However, he’s allowing over 20% of line drives when balls are batted into play and giving up 41.6% of hard contact.
On the other hand, the Braves will send out Charlie Morton, who has pitched better, holding a 3.36 xFIP in the last 30 days. He’s also struck out 36.2% of batters in that time frame. He’ll take on a Mariners lineup with a .190 ISO and wOBA of .307. Only Eugenio Suarez and Cal Raleigh have been significant contributors against righties over the last month for Seattle.
I’ll take the Braves on the road here.
Bet: Braves (-115 at DraftKings)
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