MLB Betting Systems Odds & Picks: Friday (9/20)
Weâve got another three MLB betting systems plays to share below!
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Fridayâs Best MLB Betting System Plays
Here are our top plays of the day from the popular MLB betting systems at BettingPros.
MLB Hits Over/Under
- +191.00 units over the last year
The âhitz under meâ system has earned an ROI of 10.1% on 1,685 wagers this season. Thatâs a profit of 170 units and a 60.1% win percentage.
The objective of this system is to wager on under for hits. The criteria are below:
- Cost: -200 to +110
- This Season Over Percentage: Less than 40%
- Last 5 Games: Over in 0 to 1
- Last 10 Games: Over in 0 to 3
- Last 15 Games: Over in 0 to 5
- Last 20 Games: Over in 0 to 7
While three upcoming bets are listed, Iâll ride Korey Lee under .5 Hits at -121.
The White Sox catcher has hit a .026 ISO and wOBA of .187 with nearly 31% of strikeouts against right-handed pitchers over the last 30 days. Tonight, heâll take on Joe Musgrove, who has held his last 69 righties to a .291 wOBA with nearly 45% of ground balls.
- Korey Lee Under .5 Total Bases (+114)
Ks with SF Giants
- +10.60 units over the last year
Thereâs a system on BettingPros that targets strikeouts in San Francisco Giants games.
Seems easy enough.
The Overs for strikeout props in Giants games have added a 4.7% of ROI on 285 bets. Thatâs a profit of 13.4 units and a 55.8% win percentage.
Itâs not just against the Giants, though. The system likes the Over for Giants pitchers and the opposition.
The two bets tonight include Michael Wacha (Royals) Over 5.5 Ks and Mason Black (Giants) Over 3.5 Ks.
Ultimately, the Giants have struck out 28.1% of the time against righties over the last 30 days. Wacha is in an excellent spot to earn a high amount of strikeouts. Itâs likely why this system was built in the first place. The Giants typically struggle to make contact.
Meanwhile, Black has added 24.1% of strikeouts over the last 30 days. Thatâs a massive increase from his seasonâs average of 18.5%. Heâs added 27.3% of strikeouts against righties in the previous 30 days and is in line to face more righties than lefties in the Kansas City lineup tonight.
Letâs bet both of these strikeout props.
- Michael Wacha Over 5.5 Ks (-125)
- Mason Black Over 3.5 Ks (+140)
Hot Hitters!
- +17.06 units over the last year
This last system looks at hitters who are hot at the moment. The criteria entails that a player must cost -250 to +300 and have hit the Over in total bases at a super high rate as follows:
- Last 5 Games: Over in 5 to 5
- Last 10 Games: Over in 7 to 10
- Last 15 Games: Over in 11 to 15
- Last 20 Games: Over in 16 to 20
Brent Rooker is one of the options tonight. Heâs added a .342 ISO and wOBA of .487 against righties over the last 30 days. While, yes, heâs facing Gerrit Cole, Rooker has been red hot and would only need one single to win this bet.
After all, Cole has allowed nearly 30% of fly balls and more than 40% of hard contact against righties over the last month.
Letâs back Rooker to earn at least one total base tonight.
- Brent Rooker Over .5 Total Bases (-180)