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MLB Betting Systems Odds, Picks & Predictions: Friday (8/23)

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Let’s keep the profit coming with three more MLB betting system plays for tonight’s 15-game slate.

I’ve added my favorite three props I could find on the systems page. But if you’re looking for even more, scroll through our 20,000+ betting systems to find more profitable bets.

Friday’s Best MLB Betting System Plays

Here are our top plays of the day from the popular MLB betting systems at BettingPros.

Every Run Counts

The “every run counts” system looks at players to score a run with a cost of -115 to +151. Included in the criteria is as follows:

  • Last 5 Games: Over in 2 to 5
  • Last 10 Games: Over in 6 to 10
  • Last 15 Games: Over in 9 to 15
  • Last 20 Games: Over in 12 to 20

This system has cashed 49.1% of the time this season and has earned bettors a 5.6% return on investment (ROI) on 756 wagers. That’s 42 units of profit throughout the season.

While this system has seven upcoming bets tonight, I’m eying Masyn Winn to score a run for the Cardinals at +100. Wynn hasn’t shown off much power against righties over the last 30 days. However, he’s only struck out 6% of the time and will likely put the ball in play against David Festa of the Twins.

After all, Festa has allowed a .270 ISO and wOBA of .395 to his last 40 righties while giving up 66.7% of hard contact and 37% of line drives. The Cardinals have plenty of solid righties behind Winn that can bring him in once he gets on base.

  • Masyn Winn Over 0.5 Runs (+100)

No K’s

The “No K’s” system looks at pitchers to go under on strikeouts. It’s added an 8.9% ROI this season on 213 bets. That’s a profit of 18.86 units, and it’s won 58.5% of the time.

This system has three upcoming bets for tonight. Each pitcher has to have gone under their strikeout prop as follows:

  • Last 5 Games: Over in 0 to 2
  • Last 10 Games: Over in 0 to 4
  • Last 15 Games: Over in 0 to 6
  • Last 20 Games: Over in 0 to 9

I’m eying the Max Meyer strikeout prop of under 4.5.

Meyer has allowed a .323 ISO and wOBA of .448 to his last 108 batters. The Miami starter has also struck out 17.6% of batters, including only 11.5% of lefties, over the previous month. Meyer will face four lefties in the Chicago lineup, and those four lefties have struck out just 15.6% of the time against righties in the last 30 days.

Meanwhile, the right-handed bats in the Chicago lineup have only struck out 18.1% of the time. There aren’t many targets for Meyer, and if he continues struggling like he has, he won’t be pitching for long.

  • Max Meyer Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120)

Big Likeli

This system looks at the singles market. The system inputs are set to find a player who has gone over the prop in 19% of games or more.

But instead of backing the trend, the system is fading a player who has had success. It’s working. This system has added 11.20 units of profit on 492 wagers this season.

Luis Arraez stands out as the best candidate. He’s hit a .053 ISO and wOBA of .298 against his last 78 righties despite striking out just 2.6% of the time.

Meanwhile, he’ll take on Paul Blackburn of the Mets, who has held his last 46 lefties to a .119 ISO and wOBA of .296. This isn’t a great matchup for Arraez. He’s struggled to do much damage against righties lately. Let’s take him to go under 0.5 singles at +146.

  • Luis Arraez Under 0.5 Singles (+146)

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Friday:

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