MLB Betting Systems Odds, Picks & Predictions: Friday (8/9)
We’ve got more plays from our 20,000 unique MLB betting systems to share!
We’ve got the best community, with many users sharing their systems for other bettors to use and become profitable. Here are three plays that stand out for tonight’s matchups.
Friday’s Best MLB Betting System Plays
Here are our top plays of the day from popular MLB betting systems at BettingPros.
Home dogs off loss, non division
- +19.51 units over last six months
We’ve talked about this system before. But it never gets old. The home dogs, off a loss in non-divisional games, have brought an ROI of 10.6% this season. The win percentage is only 44.6%, so there have been more losses than wins. However, the wins are plus-money, allowing for a profit of 19.51 units this season.
The Diamondbacks are one of three upcoming plays in this system. Arizona will face off against Zack Wheeler. Right off that bad, you’re likely reading this thinking I’m crazy for fading Wheeler. But let’s go over the concrete stats.
Zack Wheeler has allowed a .256 ISO and wOBA of .317 to his last 49 lefties. He’s also allowed 44.8% of fly balls and has induced just 27.6% of ground balls against lefties over the previous month. In addition, his walks have reached above 12% against lefties in the last 30 days, and he’s allowed 55.2% of hard contact with lefties.
Next, look at the Arizona projected lineup. It’s got seven lefties who have hit a .314 ISO and wOBA of .404 over the last month against righties.
Now, do you think I’m crazy? Back the Diamondbacks to pull off an upset at +130.
- Diamondbacks (+130)
MLB SD Away Favorites – Spread
- +7.42 units over last six months
This system looks at the Padres as road favorites on the runline. San Diego has gone 21-20 on the road runline this season, earning an 18.1% ROI and 7.42 units of profit.
Tonight, they’ll pitch Martin Perez. He’s struggled against righties as a left-handed starter but ultimately only has three batters to worry about in the Miami lineup.
In addition, the Marlins’ projected lineup has struck out 28.9% of the time against lefties over the last month. Therefore, we could see Perez earn a higher rate of strikeouts than his 17.7% of strikeouts this season.
On the other hand, the Marlins will pitch Edward Cabrera. He’s a high strikeout pitcher, but he’s also allowed a .235 ISO and wOBa of .355 to his last 100 batters.
The Padres have many more threats in the lineup and have struck out only 16.4% of the time against righties over the last month.
Let’s follow the system and take the Padres on the runline.
- San Diego Padres -1.5 (+114)
Underdog Under TB
- +29.83 units over last six months
This system looks at players on the expected losing team who have hit below their total bases in more than 49% of games.
The additional criteria are as follows:
- Last 5 Games: Over in 0 to 1
- Last 10 Games: Over in 0 to 2
- Last 15 Games: Over in 0 to 3
- Last 20 Games: Over in 0 to 3
Ultimately, we’re looking for a player on the projected losing team who hasn’t hit two or more total bases in over three of his last 20 games.Brandon Drury is the system output. Drury is a right-handed hitter who has knocked a .000 ISO and wOBA of .068 against lefties over the last month. He’s also struck out 23.1% of the time and has hit 70% of ground balls against lefties over the previous month. Fade Drury with his Under on total bases.
- Bradon Drury Under 1.5 Total Bases (-170)