MLB Betting Systems Picks: Friday (Padres vs. Dodgers)
The only MLB game on tonight’s schedule is the NLDS Game 5 matchup between the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers.
It’s a win-or-go-home Game 5 between two NL West rivals!
Therefore, I looked through our MLB Betting Systems and found three system bets that make sense for tonight for Padres vs. Dodgers.
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Friday’s Best MLB Betting System Plays
Here are our top plays of the day from the popular MLB betting systems at BettingPros.
MLB Jus Higher Stakes
The “MLB Jus Higher Stakes†system looks at players to go Under their hits at -131 to +200, knowing the player hasn’t gone Over the hit prop in more than five games over the last 15.
Jake Cronenworth is the system play for tonight’s game. The lefty has only hit a .122 ISO and wOBA of .262 against righties over the last 30 days. He’s also struck out nearly 24% of the time against righties in the previous month.
While Yoshinobu Yamamoto has walked lefty batters at a high rate, he’s still held lefties to a .000 ISO and wOBA of .263 with nearly 55% of ground balls over the last month. Cronenworth won’t succeed much in today’s game against Yamamoto or any righty/lefty that comes out of the bullpen. He’s been San Diego’s weakest link in the lineup.
It’s why he’s dropped to the 8th spot in the lineup.
- Jake Cronenworth Under .5 Hits (+110)
Players With 60% Under On Runs
The “Players With 60% Under On Runs†system has hit a 3% ROI on 10,256 bets this season. For such a crazy volume, a 3% ROI is intriguing.
This system has hit 68.6% of the time over the last year and has earned 308.64 units of profit.
It looks at the Under props in the run category with a cost of -1200 to +250. The player must hit this line in less than 40% of games and has to have missed the Over in at least four of the last five games and at least eight of the last ten.
Freddie Freeman fits the description tonight. The lefty has only added a .024 ISO and wOBA of .277 against his last 46 righties. He’ll take on Yu Darvish, who has limited lefties to a .081 ISO and wOBA of .192.
Darvish rarely walks batters and has been better at striking out lefties throughout the season. Freeman, who is coming off an injury, might not even play the full game despite it being a Game 5. Grab the Under.
- Freddie Freeman Under 0.5 Runs (-160)
MLB LAD Overs – Totals
This season, the Dodgers hit the Over 57% of the time, earning an ROI of 8.5%. They ultimately helped gain bettors more than 14 units throughout the year, according to the MLB LAD Overs – Totals system.
Although Yu Darvish and Yoshinobu Yamamoto are on the mound, there’s still reason to believe we’ll get a high-scoring game.
After all, Darvish has allowed nearly 28% of fly balls and has only struck out 20.4% of batters in the last 30 days. On the other hand, righties have rocked Yamamoto in the previous 30 days, giving up a .419 ISO and wOBA of .513 to his earlier 32 righties. Yamamoto has also walked 16.7% of his last 36 lefties and has struck out below 21% of batters.
I’ll gladly take the Over in this game.
- Over 8 (-102)