MLB Home Run Prop Bet Odds & Picks: Tuesday (10/15)
The ALCS returns tonight for Game 2, and it's the Yankees (1-0) who are looking to take a commanding 2-0 lead in the series over the visiting Guardians (0-1). New York will turn to Gerrit Cole to try and get them there, while Cleveland opts for Tanner Bibee. First pitch is scheduled for 7:38 p.m. ET from Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY.
From a sports betting perspective, I'm looking at a few long-shot home run prop bets in game two. Here are two players who I've locked in to touch 'em all at Yankee Stadium tonight.
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Tuesday’s MLB Home Run Prop Bet Odds & Picks
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Josh Naylor (+550) & Jose Ramirez (+425)
Cole's makes his third start of the postseason, and he certainly hasn't been lights out. The right-hander brings in a 3.00 ERA and 1.25 WHIP over 12.0 innings pitched. As for the regular season, Cole went 8-5 with a 3.41 ERA and 1.13 WHIP over 17 starts (95.0 IP).
In terms of his home run numbers, he logged a respectable 1.04 HR/9 mark and a 9.7% HR/FB rate. Cole has conceded one home run during the playoffs this year, but the wind has definitely been his friend. There were two balls in game four against the Royals that went deep to the warning track in right field, and I heard on the broadcast that one of them would've been a home run in 26/30 parks.
Well, if Cole isn't perfect tonight, then both Naylor and Ramirez will have opportunities to take him deep. Specifically, I like this matchup for Naylor, as he'll be looking to smash one out to a hitter-friendly right-field stands. Naylor has found success against Cole in the past, going 6-25 (.240) with three home runs and two doubles. As for Ramirez, he's 12-34 (.353) with two bombs, a triple, and three doubles. Both men possess plenty of power, as Jo-Ram mashed 39 home runs during the regular season, while Naylor added 31 bombs. I think it's worth a shot on both of them with these lofty payouts.
Today's Starting Pitchers' HR/9 Rate
- Tanner Bibee (1.14, 173.2 IP)
- Gerrit Cole (1.04, 95.0 IP)