MLB Home Run Prop Bets & Picks: Guardians vs. Yankees (Friday)
All four remaining MLB teams are in action tonight, as they each try to take another step toward the World Series. For the Dodgers (3-1), they're just one win away from booking their ticket to the Fall Classic. As for the American League Championship Series, the Guardians (1-2) secured a much-needed victory against the visiting Yankees (2-1) yesterday, and the two sides will square off for Game 4 tonight.
From a sports betting perspective, I'm heading to the prop sheet tonight. I've listed my favorite longshot home run prop bets. Here’s my top MLB home run prop bet pick for Guardians vs. Yankees.
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MLB Home Run Prop Bet Odds & Picks: Guardians vs. Yankees
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Aaron Judge (+290)
It was a back-and-forth game in Cleveland on Thursday, and the Guardians eventually notched a 7-5 extra-innings victory over the Yankees. The two sides are back at it tonight, and we have a pitching matchup between Luis Gil and Gavin Williams. First pitch is scheduled for 8:08 ET from Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH.
Williams will be making his playoff debut, and his last outing came on September 22 during the regular season. It wasn't an overpowering campaign for the right-hander, who registered a 3-10 record to go along with a 4.86 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. Williams logged a solid 0.83 HR/9 rate over 76.0 innings pitched.
One guy who has gotten to Williams is Aaron Judge. The likely AL MVP is 1-for-2 (.500) against Williams with a solo home run. We all know the damage that the New York slugger is capable of, but it's always fun to rewrite it because the numbers are just that wild. Judge led the league in home runs (58), RBI (144), and OPS (1.159) while sitting third in batting average (.322). This guy's always a candidate to go yard, and I think he's primed to do so for the third time this postseason.
Highest HR/9 Starting Pitchers Today
- Jack Flaherty (1.33, 162.0 IP)
- Luis Gil (1.07, 151.2 IP)
- Gavin Williams (0.83, 76.0 IP)
- David Peterson (0.60, 121.0 IP)