Navigate

MLB Player Prop Bet Odds, Picks & Predictions: Saturday (5/27)

by |

Miami Marlins slugger Jorge Soler has homered in four consecutive games, which per ESPN Stats & Info, is tied for the second-longest streak in franchise history. While we do not have anyone hitting a home run among our best player props today, we did identify our two best batter props and one pitcher prop.

Here are our best MLB player prop bets for Saturday:

View the best player prop bets for tonight’s slate with our MLB Prop Bet Cheat Sheet >>

Saturday’s Best MLB Player Prop Bets

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

Dean Kremer to record a win vs. Rangers (+185) 

This bet is a complete fade of Texas Rangers southpaw Andrew Heaney, who made his first start of the season against the Baltimore Orioles, which was easily the worst of his nine starts (7 ERs in 2 2/3 innings). Heaney has had issues with the better teams in the league, as he has made five starts against teams with winning records this season, and he has allowed at least three earned runs in four of those starts while recording fewer than 15 outs three times.

The Orioles rank in the top eight in wRC+, ISO, and wOBA against left-handed pitching this season. And their lineup is supported by Dean Kremer, who has won five of his last seven starts while pitching to a 3.12 ERA. And it is not like Kremer has had a cakewalk of a schedule in that span, as five of those seven starts (including each of the last four) have been against teams over .500.

We expect Baltimore to jump on Heaney again, which should open the door for Kremer to lead the Orioles to a fifth straight win in his last five home starts against teams with a winning record.

Anthony Rizzo Over 0.5 total bases vs. Padres (-170)

Anthony Rizzo is plenty familiar with San Diego Padres starter Michael Wacha from the days of their Chicago Cubs-St. Louis Cardinals rivalry. Rizzo has slashed .412/.483/.627 with three home runs in 51 career at-bats against Wacha.

Rizzo is enjoying the shift ban, as he is on pace for the highest batting average of his career (.301), and his 145 OPS+ is the highest it has been since his All-Star years with the Cubs. Meanwhile, Wacha ranks in the bottom half of the league in xSLG and barrels, and his xERA being 0.6 runs higher than his actual ERA suggests he is due for regression. 

Rizzo’s 101 total bases and 1.8 WAR lead all Yankees hitters. And though he only has one extra-base hit in his last five games, he has had multi-hit games in four of the last seven, which provides plenty of cushion for him to go over his total bases prop.

LaMonte Wade to score a run vs. Brewers (+135)

San Francisco Giants leadoff man LaMonte Wade may only be 2-for-11 in his career against Corbin Burnes, but he is also facing the righty at a shell of what he was when he was winning or contending for Cy Young Awards. Burnes’ strikeout rate, walk rate, ERA, and hard-hit percentage allowed all his worst among the previous three seasons. The righty has allowed at least three runs in three of his last four starts and 5+ runs in two of four, which should provide the Giants’ sparkplug with opportunities to cross the plate.

Wade’s .416 OBP and .865 OPS are by far the highest among all Giants hitters. And after a slow April where Wade slashed .254/.438/.552, he turned it on in May with a .310/.430/.408 slash line.

Wade is in his much more favorable hitting split, as his batting average and on-base percentage are 67 and 130 points better, respectively, against right-handed pitching than lefties this season. So while the Under has cashed in five of the previous six meetings in Milwaukee between these teams, we still like the value in Wade’s odds of scoring a run.

Also make sure to take a look at our other best bets for Saturday:


Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts

Mike Spector is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeSpector01.

Try Premium for FREE in our mobile app

BettingPros App