Top MLB Player Prop Bet Odds, Picks & Predictions: Tuesday (9/6)
Here are our favorite player props for Tuesday’s MLB slate.
View the best player prop bets for tonight’s slate with our MLB Prop Bet Cheat Sheet >>
Drew Rasmussen: o/u 15.5 Outs
Drew Rasmussen has hit this number in four of his last six starts and has the advantage of pitching in his home parks.
So far in the 2022 season, Rasmussen is a much better pitcher at home, going 6-1 with a 1.97 ERA and 61 strikeouts in 11 starts. On top of those astounding numbers, opponents are just hitting .178 off the Rays’ starter at Tropicana Field.
The Pick: o15.5 Outs (+100 DraftKings)
Aaron Nola: To Record a Win
I love a bounce-back game for Aaron Nola tonight. He had a rough outing last week against Arizona. He gave up eight runs on ten hits in just four innings pitched while only striking out five.
Tonight he gets a shot to bounce back against one of the worst lineups in the MLB. The Miami Marlins have only scored one run in four starts and have not scored more than three runs in eight straight games.
The Pick: Yes (-110 DraftKings)
Framber Valdez: To Record a Win
Framber Valdez does not get enough recognition for what he is doing in 2022. Valdez is quietly putting together a Cy Young season; he is 14-4 with a 2.63 ERA and 150 strikeouts.
Over his last five starts, he is 5-0 with a 2.03 ERA and 33 strikeouts. Two of those five wins came against the Texas Rangers, which happens to be his opponent in tonight’s games.
In his four starts against the Rangers in 2022, he is 3-0 and hasn’t given up more than two earned runs in any of them.
The Picks: Yes (-105 DraftKings)
Eduardo Rodriguez: o/u 4.5 Strikeouts
Eduardo Rodriguez has a great matchup against LA Angeles today. The Angels have the 5th highest K% (24.6%) and the 27th lowest wRC+ (85) against LHP.
Rodriguez saw this Angels lineup two weeks ago and had five strikeouts in five innings.
The Pick: o4.5 Strikeouts (+100 DraftKings)
Merrill Kelly: o/u 4.5 Strikeouts
Merrill Kelly would get serious Cy Young attention if he were on a better team. In 2022, Kelly is 12-5 with a 2.84 ERA Pitching for the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Kelly has hit over 4.5 strikeouts in 70% of his starts this season. He has faced the Padres twice this season and topped the 4.5 mark in both starts.
The Pick: o4.5 Strikeouts (-110 DraftKings)
Logan Gilbert: o/u 4.5 Strikeouts
Logan Gilbert has a hit rate of 60% when the line is at 4.5 strikeouts in 2022. Over his last 15 starts, he has hit this number eight times and in seven of 11 home starts.
The Pick: o4.5 Strikeouts (-115 DraftKings)
Kyle Wright: o/u 4.5 Strikeouts
Wright has an 80% hit rate in 2022 when his K-Prop is at 4.5. He has five or more strikeouts in five straight starts.
His opponent, the Oakland A’s, has the 8th highest K% (23.5%) and 27th lowest wRC+ (83) against RHP.
The Pick: o4.5 Strikeouts (-122 DraftKings)
Aaron Judge: To Hit an HR
Aaron Judge has been carrying the Yankees offense. In fact, he scored 100% of New York’s runs over the weekend.
The Twins starter Joe Ryan struggles against right-handed hitters. Of the 19 Homeruns he has given up, 11 have been right-handed batters. Over his last seven starts, Ryan has given up the long ball 10 times.
The Pick: Yes (+260 DraftKings)
Bet $5, Win $200 on Any MLB Moneyline
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts
Whether you’re new to sports betting or a betting pro, our How To Bet and Sports Betting Strategy and Advice pages are for you. You can get started with our How To Section — including How to Avoid the 7 Biggest Sports Betting Mistakes — or head to a more advanced strategy — like Thinking Like an Expert Sports Bettor — to learn more.