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MLB Player Prop Bet Odds & Picks: Saturday (4/13)

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Major League Baseball’s biggest competition from a sports betting perspective this weekend comes from the last two rounds of the Masters, but there is plenty of action to cash in on with regards to player props, as a loaded 16-game MLB slate is on tap for Saturday thanks to the doubleheader between the Minnesota Twins and Detroit Tigers.

Read on for our Top MLB Player Prop Bets for Saturday.

    Saturday’s Best MLB Player Prop Bets

    (Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

    Brandon Nimmo Over 0.5 runs (-130)

    The New York Mets entered their series opener against the Kansas City Royals on fire offensively, as they pounded out 59 hits over their previous five games, including 11 or more hits in four of them. Brandon Nimmo led the way with nine hits in that span, and entered Friday ranked second on the team in wRC+ (139) and on-base percentage (.377).

    We are foregoing Nimmo’s O/U on number of hits, despite him having multiple hits in three of the previous five games, as his biggest strength is his ability to get on base, largely because of his elite 15.1% walk rate. Nimmo does have a 1.108 OPS in April, so he could easily find himself in scoring position often, and the Mets should have little trouble plating him when facing Alec Marsh, who ranks in the 11th percentile in xBA and the 18th percentile in whiff percentage.

    Ronel Blanco to record a win (+185) 

    We must admit, we were a little skeptical and were ready to sell high on Houston Astros righty Ronel Blanco after tossing a no-hitter in his first start. However, Blanco followed that up with another spectacular performance against the Texas Rangers, and has now not allowed a run in 15 innings, while pitching to a 0.47 WHIP in that span. Per MLB’s Sarah Langs, Blanco’s 44 outs before allowing his first hit were the most by a pitcher to begin a season in the expansion era (since 1961), and OptaSTATS revealed that Blanco is the only pitcher in MLB history with 15-plus innings and one or fewer hits allowed through his first two starts of the season.

    We have no choice but to ride that hot streak against the Texas Rangers, especially when Blanco is opposed by Rangers southpaw Andrew Heaney, who is 0-2 with a 7.56 ERA this year. It is likely that Texas puts together much more quality at-bats after seeing Blanco so recently, but we still expect the Astros to come out victorious, especially since they have a combined slash line of .278/.361/.505 with nine home runs in 151 career at-bats against Heaney.

    Shohei Ohtani Over 0.5 RBIs (-105) 

    Those that figured that Shohei Ohtani would struggle amid the distractions of the betting scandal involving his interpreter, think again. Ohtani has already won two MVPs, but per Sarah Langs, is in many ways on pace for a career year.

    On top of all of that, Ohtani’s 12 extra-base hits entering Friday were the most by any player in their first 15 games with the Dodgers organization dating back to at least 1901. Langs also reported that the top of the Dodgers batting order (No. 1 thru No.4) was collectively batting .353 with a 1.032 OPS entering Friday, and that OPS was the second-highest by a team’s top four hitters through 15 games since 1906. This is Ohtani’s first time facing Padres starter Matt Waldron, but we are taking advantage of these generous RBI odds for Ohtani while we can get them.

    Make sure to check out our other best bets for Saturday:

    Mike Spector is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeSpector01.

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