Top 5 MLB Player Prop Odds & Picks for Wednesday, August 10 (2022)
It’s getaway day across the majors, so we are gifted an incredible slate of day games to enjoy. So what better way to spend the day than watching your player props cash? If you need some angles for the slate, I’ve got you covered with my top five player props of the day below.
Taijuan Walker Under 4.5 Strikeout (+115)
Cincinnati vs. New York 1:10 pm ET
Walker has fully committed to becoming a groundball pitcher this season, and he’s had tremendous success. Along with that has come a drastic drop in strikeouts. So while he may have a great matchup to get strikeouts this afternoon, this total may be too high for him. Walker has gone under this total in 63.2 percent of his starts, which gives us -171 implied odds that he will go under again. That is excellent value on this plus money line.
Jeffrey Spring Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+102)
Tampa Bay vs. Milwaukee 2:10 pm ET
Springs has made a great transition to the starting rotation as he’s only become more effective with each start. This afternoon he’ll get a Milwaukee lineup with plenty of righties but also a good deal of swing and miss in their lineup. The Brewers have the fourth highest strikeout rate in the majors against lefties, which gives him more than enough upside to get over this total today.
Jakob Junis Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-125)
San Francisco vs. San Diego – 4:10 pm ET
Junis is not a strikeout artist by any means, as his strikeout rate ranks in the bottom forty percent of all qualified pitchers. While he has gone over this in eight outings this year, one of his under came against the Padres. This was in May when the Padres were a much different team. Since their massive trade deadline, San Diego is 15th in strikeout rate, and given that they are beginning to find their groove, Junis should stay under this total.
Kris Bubic Over 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-125)
Chicago vs. Kansas City – 8:10 pm ET
Bubic has been hit hard this season as his underlying metrics have a lot of single-digit rankings. On top of that, he faces a White Sox team that has crushed left-handed pitching this year. They are top ten in batting average, wOBA, and wRC+ versus lefties. Bubic has allowed three runs or more in 55.6 percent of his starts, which gives us implied odds of -125. The line is priced correctly, but the matchup makes the over even more likely.
Jose Quintana Over 3.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-110)
St. Louis vs. Colorado – 8:40 pm ET
Jose Quintana will make his second start for the Cardinals, but this will also be his second outing in Coor Field this year. His first did not go so well as the Rockies tagged him for six runs on seven hits in five innings. Now he gets to face the Rockies again here, and they are still the best lineup in the league against lefties. Colorado could hit this over quickly if they can pick up where they left off last night.
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