MLB Playoffs Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions: Friday (10/14)

In a five-game series, you can have a couple of bad games, and then you’re swimming upstream without a paddle. We have a Game 2 to look at in what could become that situation and an important Game 3 with the series tied that will allow one team to get a chance to seal it tomorrow.

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Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees

  • Leg 1: Yankees ML (-112)
  • Leg 2: Anthony Rizzo to record 2+ total bases (+140)
  • Leg 3: Nestor Cortes over 4.5 strikeouts (+102)

With the postponement yesterday, the Yankees and Guardians could now play four games in four days, impacting how each manages this series.

Nestor Cortes will get the start, and the early-season phenom was the most consistent pitcher in this rotation. He was especially dominant in the Bronx, going 6-1 with a 1.95 ERA, with one of those starts against the Guardians allowing two earned in 6.1. Add another great in Cleveland, and Nasty Nestor is 2-0 against them this season.

Shane Bieber will go for the Guardians, and he was untouchable to end the season going 9-2 with a 2.04 ERA in his final 13 starts. The last time Bieber saw the Yankees in the postseason was back in 2020, and it was a disaster allowing seven earned at home in Game 1 of the 2020 ALDS. Surprisingly this will be his first time pitching in Yankee Stadium.

A couple of days off may not help a Cleveland lineup that scored just one run in the last 26 innings. With Cortes’ success against Cleveland, Bieber’s struggles and pitching in a pressured environment for the first time, the Yanks should head to Progressive Field with a 2-0 lead.

Parlay Odds: +577 via FanDuel

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres

  • Leg 1: Padres 1st half result (+140)
  • Leg 2: Under 7.5 (-124)
  • Leg 3: Blake Snell over 6.5 strikeouts (+104)

The Padres were awful against the Dodgers during the regular season, going 5-14 with a -62 run differential, but it did not look like that as their offense came through, and the bullpen shut down the Dodgers for the 5-3 win in Game 2.

Blake Snell will go for San Diego, and he’s been excellent against Los Angeles, including his most recent start where he went five shutout innings. He’s been able to overpower them with 23 strikeouts in 14 innings, and he will need to keep them off bases in this game.

He may need to be against Tony Gonsolin, as he was in the National League Cy Young talks throughout the season. The question is will it be rest or rust for him? Gonsolin was on his way to a 20-win season until a right forearm strain forced him to miss a month.

He’s only pitched two innings since August 24th, which could leave him struggling to get into a rhythm. His postseason career has not been stellar, having a 9.45 ERA with mostly relief appearances and being used technically as a starter, but he was really the “opener.”

We could see San Diego jump out to an early lead, and hopefully, it’s big enough and Snell can go deep to where the Padres feel comfortable going to their bullpen.

I’ll never count the Dodgers out, so I’m going with the Padres in the first five instead of the total game.

Parlay Odds: +540 via FanDuel

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