MLB Playoffs Same Game Parlay Picks & Predictions for Thursday: Guardians vs. Yankees (10/13)

The ALDS has two scheduled games today. The afternoon game will be between the Mariners and Astros, while the Yankees will take on the Guardians in the night game. Let’s take a look at my favorite same game parlay for Guardians vs. Yankees.

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MLB Playoffs Same Game Parlay Picks & Predictions for Thursday

Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees

  • Leg 1: Shane Bieber Over 5.5 K’s (+100)
  • Leg 2: Nestor Cortes Over 4.5 K’s (+116)
  • Leg 3: Anthony Rizzo 1+ Hit (-160)

As a disclaimer, this game could be postponed to tomorrow due to rain in the forecast.

But as of now, the game is on. Maybe we’ll get lucky, and this game will be played.

Shane Bieber will get the start for the Guardians. He’s coming off a tremendous start against the Rays in the Wild Card series. In the last 30 days, Bieber has a 3.05 xFIP and has induced close to 55% of ground balls when the ball is put into play.

Bieber has only earned 21.7% of strikeouts over the last month, but he’s limited walks to 1.6% and line drives to under 20%.

His strikeout numbers will more than likely increase tonight. New York has six batters striking out at least 25% of the time against righties. Six batters have struck out at least 21.2% of the time against righties.

The Yankees aren’t making contact recently. But the one player who has against righties has been Anthony Rizzo. Rizzo has struck out just 15.3% of the time against and has a .212 ISO in the last 30 days against righties.

Bieber has allowed a .164 ISO to his last 56 lefties. Rizzo has the potential to go yard again or at least get a hit.

On the other hand, Nestor Cortes will get the start for the Yankees.  He’s struck out 32.2% of batters over the last 30 days and has rarely allowed extra-base hits.

He’ll take on a Guardians lineup with seven batters striking out at least 19.2% of the time against lefties. With Cortes’ high strikeout rate, there’s a good chance he could get five strikeouts in tonight’s game against Cleveland.

Parlay Odds: +624 via FanDuel

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