Navigate

MLB Same Game Parlay Odds & Picks: Friday (9/27)

by |

It has admittedly been a rough go in recent weeks for me on the MLB Same Game Parlay (SGP) front. But hopefully, we can cut into the deficit on the final Friday of the 2024 regular season.

I always recommend going light on these but would advise added caution this week. The final few days of the season are always a bit wonky. Several high-profile teams may be resting starters, especially based on recent results. Baltimore, Houston, Milwaukee, and San Diego are potential candidates, with the Astros being the most likely. The Yankees and Dodgers are also on the list since they clinched their respective divisions on Thursday. However, I believe they will try to maintain their slim leads in the race for home-field advantage in the playoffs.

With all of that out of the way, here are my top three SGPs for Friday's MLB slate.

Join our new MLB Betting Group to share bets and compete in leaderboards >>

Friday's Best MLB Same Game Parlay Bets

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers

Our first SGP for Friday takes us to Detroit, where the Tigers can clinch a playoff berth with a win over the lowly Chicago White Sox. This scenario seemed unlikely at best just a few short weeks ago, but the Motown crowd will be rocking. The Tigers have all the incentive in the world to win this game and decompress before the playoffs. Even in a matchup against Garrett Crochet, I like the Tigers to win this game.

The rest of this SGP may seem opposed to the Tigers winning, but I think multiple things can be true. I think Crochet can still pitch well, but it will not be enough to prevent a Tigers victory. Chicago has only won 10 of Crochet's 31 starts, so this would hardly be unprecedented.

Even though Chicago continues to limit Crochet's pitch count, I think four strikeouts is a very low bar for him to clear. Crochet has pitched no more than four innings in any outing since the All-Star break but has still reached this threshold in seven of 10 starts. Detroit hitters have struck out in 31.1 percent of plate appearances this month when facing a left-handed pitcher.

I am also betting against Justyn-Henry Molloy and Parker Meadows to record hits in this game. Molloy has essentially been platooning at designated hitter with Kerry Carpenter. There is a high probability of Molloy only getting two plate appearances in this game. Molloy has 12 hits and 18 strikeouts in 57 plate appearances against southpaws.

Parker Meadows is more likely to play the whole game than Molloy is, but Meadows has been batting ninth against lefties in recent weeks. That means that three plate appearances are a very real possibility for the Tigers outfielder on Friday. If two of those are against Crochet, I like the odds of Meadows not recording a hit in this game.

Parlay Odds: +440

Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies

Our final chance to bet against Cal Quantrill in Coors Field this season. Sad face.

Truth be told, Quantrill has not been as bad as I thought he would be in Colorado. That being said, I still have to fade him in a matchup with the Los Angeles Dodgers.

We may want to confirm a Dodger lineup before we commit to laying 1.5 runs. However, it feels as though they are going to play for the top seed in the National League. They will be without Freddie Freeman, who suffered an ankle injury. Los Angeles should still have enough firepower to beat up the lowly Rockies.

Quantrill has walked seven Dodgers in his two starts against them this year. He has also walked multiple batters in nine straight starts. I am betting on him to do so again on Friday.

Mookie Betts homered off Quantrill earlier this year and is always a threat to record multiple bases. He could very well get five plate appearances in a great hitter's park against one of the worst pitching staffs in all of baseball. I am grabbing the Over on Betts' total base prop.

My last leg is for Kike Hernandez to drive in at least one run on Friday. I think Freeman's injury plays into this a bit. Hernandez has been the first baseman for Los Angeles in all games Freeman has missed within the past six weeks. He should hit near the middle of the order and hit with plenty of runners on base. Hernandez is 2-for-4 with two RBI in his career against Quantrill.

Parlay Odds: +445 

Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels

My last SGP for Friday night (and for the 2024 MLB regular season) is for a divisional matchup between the Texas Rangers and Los Angeles Angels. This is a bit of a Jacob deGrom special so let's dive in.

DeGrom has made two starts for Texas since returning to action earlier this month and has not thrown more than 61 pitches in either start. He has thrown a total of 6.2 innings, allowing one run and seven hits while striking out nine hitters. That workload is where most of the Unders in this SGP come from.

In what is essentially a meaningless game, the last thing that Texas needs to do is go too far with deGrom's workload and open him up to any potential injury issues. I would be very surprised if deGrom threw more than four innings on Friday. Because of that, I am taking Unders on his walks allowed, hits allowed, and earned runs allowed props.

Having said all that, I am picking deGrom to record at least five strikeouts. He has had a healthy 31 percent strikeout rate since his return, albeit in a small sample size. Angels hitters have been prone to the strikeout in recent weeks, in part due to an influx of September callups. Los Angeles has a 27 percent strikeout rate versus right-handed pitchers in September. Regardless of any limitations, I think deGrom can still get to five punchouts in this game.

Parlay Odds: +415

Try Premium for FREE in our mobile app

BettingPros App