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MLB Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions: Friday (5/19)

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Full Friday’s worth of games on tap for today, with the earliest game on the slate beginning at 6:35. Let’s dive into the games and find our favorite bets of the day.

Friday’s Best MLB Same Game Parlays

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies

1. Phillies -1.5 (+155)
2. Over 5.5 Runs (+100)

Marcus Stroman got off to a hot start this season, but his numbers have begun to return to his career norms. The Ks are up slightly at the expense of a few extra walks, but what has always made Stroman great is his ability to generate ground balls. The Phillies have been league-average offensively, but the top of their order might be as talented as any in the game.

The Cubs’ offense has actually been above average both over the course of the season and in the short term. They have gotten some extra juice from minor leaguers like Christopher Morel, who has been excellent since getting back to the big club. Ranger Suarez had a so-so first start back, but it was in Coors, so maybe we can chalk that one to the park he returned to. He is a pitcher who projects to be well above average and has enough talent to hold down this offense.

3. Bryce Harper 2+ TBs (-105)

What Harper has done since returning is nothing short of amazing. Despite not going out on a rehab assignment, Harper has a 140 wRC+ since returning. His power has been down compared to his career norms and the Ks are slightly elevated, but he is essentially on a rehab assignment right now. There will be a few growing pains, but Harper is one of the best hitters in the game for a reason.

Combined Odds: +425

Cleveland Guardians at New York Mets

1. Mets -1.5 (+135)
2. Over 5.5 Runs (+150)

After a horrendous stretch, the Mets had a massive come-from-behind victory on Wednesday and carried that into a series win against the Rays. Their pitching is still a bit of a question mark, but the offense is coming around a bit due to the youth movement. Carlos Carrasco makes his return today, and while his season had gotten off to a rough start, I am anticipating a bounceback. While it is highly likely he is just done, my guess is the injury played a much bigger role in the struggles than he or the team may have indicated.

On the offensive side, Cal Quantrill has shown to be an ERA-estimator beater, but the numbers this season are just too poor for me to keep believing that. His K% is a paltry 11.7% which is completely unsustainable and makes him completely reliant on BABIP luck and HR suppression to succeed. This is all a recipe for disaster against a team with power like some of the Mets’ offense has.

3. Brett Baty 2+ TBs (+185)

Baty got off to a hot start, but he has come back down to Earth in the last few games. He has a wRC+ of only 102, but the hard hit and barrel numbers have been solid. I believe that this, combined with the high percentage of balls that Quantrill allows to go into play, makes Baty a nice bet to have a big game in this one.

Combined Odds: +575

Boston Red Sox at San Diego Padres

1. Red Sox ML (+115)
2. Over 4.5 Runs (+125)

The Red Sox have been one of the biggest surprises in all of baseball this season. Their offense is the fifth-best in the game by wRC+, and their team AVG is only behind the Rays. The issue has mostly been their pitching which could be getting a nice boost from the return of Paxton. It is easy to forget just how dominant Paxton was with Seattle and in his first Season with the Yankees. He was excellent in his first start back this season, truly looking healthy, and I think he should be able to add to that in this game.

On the offensive side, they need to contend with Blake Snell, who has been a bit up and down this season. The walks are way up, as are home runs allowed. The ERA does not look that bad, but the estimators are well below average. The Red Sox offense has a 111 wRC+ against Southpaws and should be able to take advantage of the struggles of Snell so far this season.

Justin Turner 2+ TBs (+165)

Turner has truly been one of the best and most consistent hitters in baseball in the last several seasons, and this is no different. In his career, Turner has a 124 wRC+ against lefties, and while the AVG is lower than against righties, the ISO is higher when he faces left-handers. He is also hot lately, with three of his five homers this season occurring in May.

Combined Odds: +450

Check out our other best bets for Friday:

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