Navigate

MLB Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions: Friday (7/7)

by |

As teams limp their way into the All-Star Break, pitchers get skipped and players get a couple of days extra rest. As per most Fridays, we have a full slate of games but there is no Wrigley game so all begin after 6 PM. One big storyline on the day is the Yankee debut of Carlos Rodon. Let’s dive into my favorite SGP bets of the day.

Friday’s Best Same Game Parlays

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers

Leg 1: Tigers ML (+120)
Leg 2: Tigers o4.5 Runs (+120)

We are betting against Alek Manoah’s return, who has struggled mightily in 2023. He had a solid start in AA his last time out, but the walks were still elevated, and if he’s getting himself into poor counts or situations, the blow-up potential is real. It remains to be seen if Manoah is officially back, but I’m willing to be against it happening. Alex Faedo is returning for the Tigers, and he has been interesting skills-wise in 2023. The ERA is poor, but he does not walk anyone. This had seemingly led to a big HR total, but there may be enough swing and miss to counteract that issue.

Leg 3: Kerry Carpenter 2+ TBs (+155)

Carpenter is arguably the best hitter in the Tigers’ lineup with an over 0.200 ISO and a 130 wRC+. He has slowly improved his K% numbers allowing him to better get to his power.

Combined Odds: +475

Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros

Leg 1: Mariners ML (-105)
Leg 2: Mariners o5.5 Runs (+225)

Luis Castillo has had a rough go of things in the last few starts, suddenly developing a homer issue. However, the rest of the skills are still there. The Astros’ offense is not quite at the same level they have been in previous seasons, especially with both Yordan Alvarez and Jose Altuve on the IL. If Castillo can keep the ball in the yard, then he should be able to lead the team to victory. On the other side, the Mariners’ offense is starting to heat back up with a 111 wRC+ in the last thirty days. Hunter Brown has been fantastic this season but has developed a bit of a homer run issue in the month of June. While his overall numbers don’t bear it out, he allowed just under two HR/9 in June. This battle will hinge on which pitcher can manage to keep the ball in the yard, and I’ll bet on Castillo versus Brown in that battle.

Leg 3: Julio Rodriguez 2+ TBs (+105)

Ju-Rod has had a “down” season compared to his 2022 rookie campaign, but he is still an above-average hitter with massive power potential. His line here is a bit more expensive than I would really want it to be, but with his speed as well, there’s a good chance he can hit this bet.

Combined Odds: +475

New York Mets at San Diego Padres

Leg 1: Mets ML (+110)
Leg 2: Mets o4.5 Runs (+155)

The Mets are arguably the hottest team in baseball, currently on a five-game winning streak as they head into San Diego. In what was billed as a matchup of two of the biggest underperforming teams in baseball, we are getting a matchup of multiple-time All-Stars. Justin Verlander has not been anywhere near as good as he was in 2022, but he has posted back-to-back solid outings. Yu Darvish is putting up another solid season, but this Mets’ offense is rolling, and I believe that they should be able to keep this going against Darvish.

Leg 3: Brett Baty 2+ TBs (+245)

This number stands out as way underpriced, no matter the struggles that Baty has had. The power has been a bit disappointing, but it’s rare we can get a player at these kinds of odds for a total base bet. There are a few other more reasonable bets on the Mets, but at this number, it’s worth taking the chance on the upside and big number.

Combined Odds: +600

Check out our other best bets for Friday:


Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts

Try Premium for FREE in our mobile app

BettingPros App