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MLB Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions: Monday (10/9)

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Throughout the season, I was banking on bad pitchers.

In the postseason, that strategy goes out the window. Each team has their star pitchers on the mound in the playoffs.

With some adjustments, I still feel confident with tonight’s same-game parlays for the two NLDS games on the slate.

Monday’s Best MLB Same Game Parlay Bets

(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

I’m fading Zack Wheeler tonight. I don’t think Zack Wheeler will get blown up, but if Max Fried is 100% healthy, he should have a better outing than Wheeler. Wheeler has only struck out 19.7% of lefties in the last month. He’s also allowed a .164 ISO and wOBA of .358 to his previous 66 lefties. Wheeler has allowed a .315 ISO to lefties this season and earned only 39.3% of grounders while giving up 25.7% of line drives. Therefore, Atlanta’s lefties have an edge.

Ozzie Albies has smacked a .254 ISO and wOBA of .438 against his last 78 righties. Albies has struck out only 14.1% of the time against righties in the previous 30 days. Meanwhile, Matt Olson, another lefty, has hit a .392 ISO and wOBA of .558 against his last 64 righties. Olson has struck out just 15.6% of the time.

As a projected lineup, the Braves have struck out only 18.1% of the time against righties. Only Austin Riley has struck out more than 19.7% of the time against righties. With Wheeler averaging just 23.5% of strikeouts over the last month, his Under was added to the parlay.

Parlay Odds: +599

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Leg 1: Zac Gallen Under 4.5 Ks (-113)
  • Leg 2: Bobby Miller Over 5.5 Ks (+128)
  • Leg 3: Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 Total Bases (-120)

The Dodgers are probably in a must-win spot tonight against the Diamondbacks. They can’t go down 2-0 and expect to escape on the road against Arizona.

Arizona will pitch Zac Gallen tonight. Gallen has held teams to a .142 ISO and wOBA of .330 over the last 30 days. He’s been tremendous at inducing ground balls and limiting fly balls. However, he’s still allowed a .170 ISO to his previous 62 lefties. Furthermore, Freddie Freeman is a lefty, hitting a .266 ISO and wOBA of .406, with only 15.3% of strikeouts over the last 30 days against righties. He can hit for some power against Gallen in this spot. Meanwhile, Gallen has only struck out 24% of batters this season, including 22.6% against lefties. The Dodgers should have more lefties than righties in the lineup. As a projected lineup, they’ve struck out just 19.1% of the time. Gallen only has two legitimate targets in the Dodgers’ lineup.

On the other hand, Bobby Miller will take on a suddenly hot Diamondbacks lineup. However, over the last 30 days, the Diamondbacks haven’t been great against righties. Arizona has hit a .136 ISO and wOBA of .296 against righties as a projected lineup. Only Corbin Carroll and Ketel Marte have put up above-average numbers against righties in the last month. Miller has held lefties to a .069 ISO and wOBA of .265 and both of those guys are lefties. Expect Miller to have a dominant performance for the Dodgers tonight.

Parlay Odds: +655

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Monday:

Go premium to view top prop bets based on Cover Probability, Expected Value, & Star Rating >>


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