MLB Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions: Tuesday (9/13)

Last week, we earned a couple of Same-Game Parlay winners. As the MLB season winds down, we’re still looking to add a bit more profit.

Follow along as I give you three more of my favorite Same-Game Parlay bets in the MLB for September 13.

View the best player prop bets for tonight’s slate with our MLB Prop Bet Cheat Sheet >>

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins

  • Leg 1: Brian Anderson 2+ Total Bases (+130)
  • Leg 2: Nick Fortes 2+ Total Bases (+300)
  • Leg 3: Bryan De La Cruz 1+ Hit (-150)

Call me crazy. But I like the Marlins to hit today. Bailey Falter is on the mound for the Phillies. He has a 4.53 xFIP over the last 30 days with under 20% of strikeouts against batters faced over that same period.

Falter has given up 24.3% of line drives when balls are batted into play and rarely gets ground balls, inducing just over 35%.

The left-hander has been much worse against right-handed batters, and the Marlins figure to have a full right-handed lineup of bats with potential.

Brian Anderson is currently hitting a .286 ISO against lefties, while Nick Fortes is hitting a .273 ISO with a wOBA of .390. Bryan De La Cruz might be hitting towards the bottom of the lineup, but he’s already hit a line drive in his last five plate appearances against lefties.

Ride the Marlins on the offensive side of things today.

Parlay Odds: +782 via FanDuel

Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins

  • Leg 1: Carlos Correa 2+ Total Bases (-110)
  • Leg 2: Gio Urshela 2+ Total Bases (-105)
  • Leg 3: Gary Sanchez 1+ Hit (-150)

Kris Bubic will take the mound for the Royals tonight. The left-hander has struggled in the last 30 days, owning a 5.75 xFIP. He’s allowed over 34% of line drives when balls are batted into play and is inducing just 33% of ground balls. He’s giving up more line drives than ground balls over the last 30 days when balls are hit into play.

The left-hander will face a bunch of right-handed hitters in the Minnesota lineup. Against righties, he’s allowing a .380 wOBA over the last 98 plate appearances.

The Twins’ middle portion of their order should do plenty of damage. Carlos Correa is already hitting a .320 ISO with a wOBA of .412 against leftie over his last 32 plate appearances. Meanwhile, Gio Urshela is hitting a .194 ISO with 33.3% of line drives against lefties through his previous 32 plate appearances.

Gary Sanchez has a .222 ISO with a wOBA of .387 against lefties through his last 21 plate appearances. If he ends up not playing, you can swap Jose Miranda in there, who is hitting a .188 ISO in his previous month against lefties.

Ride the Twins against Bubic!

Parlay Odds: +518 via FanDuel

Chicago White Sox vs. Oakland Athletics

  • Leg 1: Jose Abreu 1+ Hit (-230)
  • Leg 2: Eloy Jimenez 2+ Total Bases  (+105)
  • Leg 3: Gavin Sheets 2+ Total Bases (+115)

The White Sox will look to capitalize against Chad Kuhl in tonight’s game. Kuhl has been all over the place recently. He has a 4.53 xFIP while allowing 25% of line drives when balls are batted into play. He’s only inducing 30% of grounders while giving up 57.5% of hard contact when balls are hit into play.

Lefties have an IOS of .323 in their last 33 plate appearances against Kuhl. Meanwhile, righties are hitting a .528 wOBA and ISO of .360 in their previous 28 plate appearances.

On the other hand, Jose Abreu of the White Sox is hitting a .368 wOBA with 25% of line drives against righties over the last month. Next, Eloy Jimenez has a .231 ISO and wOBA of .420 with a low strikeout rate in the previous 30 0days.

Finally, Gavin Sheets, a lefty, has a .215 ISO against righties with a .355 wOBA over his last 72 plate appearances against righties.

Back the White Sox to do some damage against Kuhl tonight.

Parlay Odds: +542 via FanDuel

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