MLB Sleeper Picks Player Predictions: Tuesday (10/10)

October baseball is as good as it gets, although it is a much different game, particularly for starting pitchers. Be wary of the enticing short lines the books offer for some of these stud starters. The leashes are short, and the hooks are quick in this playoff environment.

That said, here are the best Sleeper plays worth considering for today, Tuesday, Oct. 10.

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Tuesday’s Best MLB Sleeper Picks Player Predictions

This season: 77-63-9

Cristian Javier Over 4.5 Strikeouts

After last year’s dominating run, it was a bit strange to see Cristian Javier struggle this season. The Astros insisted he was not hurt and it was purely mechanical. Well, the mechanics appear to be somewhat back following his strikeout success to end the season. Over his final six starts, Javier has found the zone with his slider more, resulting in a 31% CSW% and 32% K%. He had five-plus strikeouts in five of those starts and should be able to find five even in a shortened outing today.

No one struck out more than the Twins this season. Each starter to face them this playoffs has found five punchouts against them, and that includes a three-inning start from Jose Berrios, a four-inning bout from Kevin Gausman and a 13-out start via Framber Valdez as well.


Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI

Sonny Gray has solid numbers against the majority of this Houston roster, but Jose Altuve is one of the few batters to find some success. He is 12-36 with two walks against Gray. Leading off at the top of the lineup for Houston, Altuve will see four plate appearances at the minimum and perhaps five if the Astros find some baserunners. Hitting behind him are some of the best hitters in the game: Alex Bregman, Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker. If he gets on base, there’s a good chance one of them can bring him home.

As much as it pains any non-Houston fan to admit it, Altuve always seems to (*BANG*) find (*BANG*) a way (*BANG*) to come through in the biggest moments in the postseason, with and without the trash cans. Ignoring his first postseason of 2015 and trash can-influenced 2017 playoffs, Altuve has 17 HRs, 34 RBIs, 63 runs and an.852 OPS in 70 playoff games from 2018-2023. He has gone over this mark in 41 (59%) of those contests and, more recently, in 12 of his last 16 games. Over this smaller span, he owns a .392 OBP with nine RBIs and 24 hits across 74 plate appearances.


Evan Carter Over 0.5 Hits

Since getting the call to the show, all Evan Carter has done is produce. He had a 180 wRC+ across 75 plate appearances in the regular season and has continued to flourish in the postseason. We’re obviously working with a very small sample size, but across 17 plate appearances, Carter has a 348 wRC+. He’s 5-10 with three doubles, a HR, three runs, three RBIs, six walks, a hit-by-pitch and a stolen base. The Rangers rookie has found a hit in 15 of his last 18 games started. If you’re feeling frisky and looking for a better multiplier, over 1.5 hits+runs+RBIs also looks solid. He has surpassed that number in 12 of his last 18 games started.


Make sure to check out our other best bets for Tuesday:

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Tyler Gentile is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Tyler, follow him @808Paperboi

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