MLB World Series Game 4 Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions: Wednesday (Phillies/Astros)
The Philadelphia Phillies are now two wins away from winning the World Series. Philadelphia blitzed the Houston Astros at home, earning a 7-0 win last night.
The Phillies will have two more games at home before traveling back to Houston. But if the Phillies win their next two games at home, the trip to Houston won’t ever happen. The Phillies would escape with a World Series.
I’ve put together a couple of same-game parlays to consider for Game 4 of the MLB World Series.
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MLB World Series Game 4 Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions
Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies (The “Under†Angle)
- Leg 1: Cristian Javier Over 5.5 K’s (-110)
- Leg 2: Aaron Nola Over 6.5 K’s (+116)
- Leg 3: Alex Bregman 2+ Total Bases (+130)
The Astros will look to even the World Series at two games apiece. That would guarantee a trip back home to Houston for Game 6.
In Game 1 of the World Series, Aaron Nola struggled. He allowed five runs on six hits with two walks. He also gave up a pair of home runs in just 4.1 innings. The Phillies rallied back to win 6-5, but Nola wasn’t his sharpest. He’s got an ERA of above 4 in the postseason but still earns a high number of strikeouts. As long as Nola can go six innings, I’d expect him to earn seven strikeouts, knowing that the Astros’ lineup has struck out over 20% of the time against righties over the last 30 days.
His toughest matchup will be Alex Bregman, who has hit a .300 ISOS and wOBA of .396 against his last 44 righties. Bregman has only struck out 4.5% of the time against those 44 righties.
Meanwhile, Cristian Javier is coming off a monster performance against the Yankees, allowing just one hit in 5.1 innings. He struck out five batters and walked three. His walks will always be high, but so will his strikeouts, especially against a Phillies team that has struck out against righties nearly 25% of the time over the last 30 days.
Parlay Odds: +929 via FanDuel
Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies (The “Over†Angle)
- Leg 1: JT Realmuto 2+ Total Bases (+150)
- Leg 2: Rhys Hoskins 2+ Total Bases (+150)
- Leg 3: Kyle Tucker 2+ Total Bases (+110)
There’s no question that Javier is hard to hit. He’s struck out close to 30% of batters over the last 30 days and has a BABIP of just .077 through his last 24 plate appearances. But his last 16 righties have hit an ISO of .286. Last night the Phillies had three lefties, and two righties go yard. Lefties had been destroying McCullers over the last month.
We’ll likely see more production from righties like Rhys Hoskins and JT Realmuto tonight. Hoskins has an ISO of .267, with Realmuto hitting an ISO of .302 over the last 30 days against righties.
On the other hand, Aaron Nola has allowed a wOBA of .353 with an ISO of .278 to his last 40 lefties. Although Yordan Alvarez has struggled, Kyle Tucker hasn’t. Especially against Nola. He knocked two home runs against Nola in Game 1.
Tucker is currently hitting a .243 ISO and has smacked 28.6% of line drives when balls are put into play over the last 30 days.
Parlay Odds: +1239 via FanDuel
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