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MLB World Series Player Prop Bet Odds & Picks: Tuesday (Diamondbacks vs. Rangers)

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The Texas Rangers defeated the Arizona Diamondbacks 3-1 in Game 3 of the World Series last night. In the process, Texas improved to 9-0 on the road in the playoffs, setting the record for most consecutive road wins in a single playoff run. Per Sportsnet Stats, the Rangers are one road win away from tying the 2012 Los Angeles Kings for the most consecutive road wins in the same postseason among MLB/NHL/NBA teams.

Arizona’s 3-1 Game 3 loss was its first home loss in World Series franchise history (now 4-1), and they dropped to 3-2 at home this postseason. The Rangers are now 2-5 all-time on the road in the World Series. 

In Best-of-seven World Series history, the winner of Game 3 when the series was tied goes on to win the series 66.7% of the time.

What player props catch our eye for World Series Game 4 between the Rangers and Diamondbacks?

Go premium to view top prop bets based on Cover Probability, Expected Value & Star Rating >>

Tuesday’s Best MLB Player Props

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

Evan Carter Over 0.5 Hits (-180)

After Rangers left fielder Evan Carter went 2-for-3 in Game 3, he is now slashing .333/.452/.549 in the playoffs. We do not mind paying these steep odds, as Carter has reached base safely in every game this postseason, and that streak of 15 consecutive games is the longest by a player 21 or younger.

Carter’s success from the end of the regular season continued into the playoffs, as he slashed .310/.408/.714 over the final 15 games of the regular season. He had four home runs and nine RBIs in that span, and his troubling 28.6% strikeout rate during that stretch has lowered to a more manageable 24.6% in the postseason.

Carter batted .365 with a 1.238 OPS against right-handed pitching in the regular season, and he should see plenty of righties out of Arizona’s bullpen today to improve his hitting streak to nine games, which makes these odds manageable.

Andrew Heaney To Record First Strikeout Thrown (+200)

Given that we went somewhat chalky with our first player prop selection, we are swinging for the fence a little on a play with a projected +200 payout. Joe Mantiply has -135 odds to record the first strikeout, which makes sense, considering he will have the first opportunity to toe the rubber. Mantiply has recorded 7.1 K/9 in the postseason (five strikeouts in 6 1/3 innings), and in the last game that he opened like he will today (Game 4 of the NLCS), his only strikeout in his one inning of work was against Kyle Schwarber, whose 29.9% strikeout percentage was the second-worst of any player who made the playoffs (and seventh-worst in MLB).

Marcus Semien and Corey Seager had strikeout rates of 16.4% or better in the regular season, and we expect Adolis Garcia to continue his hot hitting and avoid a strikeout despite a 27.7% K% in the regular season.

Mantiply was only used to record three or fewer outs in 15 of his final 22 regular season appearances, so if he does not record a strikeout in the first inning, Heaney should cash this wager with ease, as his 35% strikeout rate last season was the third-highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total innings pitched, per Inside Edge.

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Tuesday:


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Mike Spector is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeSpector01.

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